Realized P&L
-$898
Unrealized P&L
-$152
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
97
Trades
907
lifetime
Volume
$25.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$3.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 15:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Other
48% 41% +$261
Politics
31% 44% +$221
Crypto
15% 8% -$1,598
Sports
5% 48% +$146
Tech
1% 100% +$72
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? No +950 $498 86¢ $812 +$314 09-14 22:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -911 -$484 88¢ $-806 -$323 08-21 01:21
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? No +371 $162 92¢ $340 +$178 09-09 21:39
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +300 $213 92¢ $274 +$62 08-31 06:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +200 $166 88¢ $175 +$9 09-15 23:07
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? No +215 $145 76¢ $163 +$18 10-22 02:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +170 $118 96¢ $163 +$44 05-23 19:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? No +260 $155 46¢ $121 -$34 11-02 15:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $80 98¢ $98 +$18 06-02 08:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $59 94¢ $94 +$34 05-24 04:34
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 10-07 13:04
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? Yes +2,196 $594 4¢ $83 -$511 10-24 21:21
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +400 $14 20¢ $82 +$68 06-03 05:12
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026? Yes +219 $25 24¢ $53 +$28 09-29 21:03
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +80 $45 64¢ $52 +$6 09-27 19:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +60 $50 82¢ $50 $0 10-16 16:56
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,400 $121 3¢ $45 -$76 10-02 13:44
Will Nvidia’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of 2026? Yes +166 $13 25¢ $42 +$28 09-12 19:02
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,500 $20 2¢ $39 +$19 07-14 12:25
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $57 11¢ $32 -$25 10-16 08:21
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,200 $28 2¢ $29 +$2 07-12 08:47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +630 $60 4¢ $28 -$32 09-29 00:20
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +600 $25 4¢ $25 +$0 05-21 09:04
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +2,203 $18 1¢ $17 -$1 07-12 16:01
Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? Yes +300 $11 5¢ $15 +$4 09-07 00:06
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +150 $36 10¢ $14 -$21 10-24 21:04
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -300 -$8 4¢ $-12 -$3 06-01 22:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$1 05-28 04:05
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +900 $6 0¢ $1 -$5 07-17 10:13
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -290 -$39 0¢ $-1 +$38 07-07 10:51