(anonymous) 0xc03ddd…dbca87
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$28
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
8,513
lifetime
Volume
$50.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$91
28 positions
First seen
2026-05-21
last 06-30 18:50
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
53% — —
Politics
47% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 397 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +31 $38 95¢ $30 $-9 06-30 22:00
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +12 $21 94¢ $12 $-9 06-30 21:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +11 $14 100¢ $11 $-3 06-08 13:31
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 06-02 03:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +7 $9 96¢ $7 $-3 06-30 18:50
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 100¢ $6 +$0 06-22 23:59
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 $-0 06-10 09:36
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 $-0 06-14 20:14
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +6 $6 97¢ $5 $-1 06-30 04:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $-1 06-27 16:38
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 95¢ $0 $-0 06-29 16:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-13 20:14
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-24 13:47
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-30 06:11
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-27 03:53
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-30 16:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-21 08:15
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-30 04:05
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -0 $0 100¢ $-0 $-0 06-08 22:43
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 06-29 00:34
Iran coup attempt by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-13 03:25
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-18 03:18
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-12 15:14
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-10 17:58
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $-0 06-18 21:28
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 16:26
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-14 20:07
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $-0 06-26 18:06