Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved
13
Trades
274
lifetime
Volume
$1.56K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$197
13 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 06-09 17:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
61% 67% +$89
Crypto
26%
Other
13% 22% $-11
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 96 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +191 $66 61¢ $116 +$50 06-03 16:01
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +148 $19 12¢ $18 $-1 06-08 19:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +65 $19 28¢ $18 $-1 06-07 08:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +166 $30 11¢ $17 $-13 06-01 08:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes +78 $7 $5 $-2 05-30 20:18
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027? Yes +27 $4 16¢ $4 +$0 05-30 00:03
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +13 $4 26¢ $3 $-1 05-30 00:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes +82 $4 $3 $-1 05-28 14:03
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +30 $3 11¢ $3 +$0 05-28 14:04
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -24 $-3 14¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 19:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $3 46¢ $3 +$0 05-30 00:04
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? Yes +136 $4 $1 $-3 05-28 14:06
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-01 19:28