Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$48
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved
13
Trades
372
lifetime
Volume
$2.65K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$154
11 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-21 16:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
71% 67% +$89
Crypto
16%
Other
13% 22% $-11
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +348 $104 24¢ $82 $-23 06-22 19:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +116 $53 36¢ $42 $-11 06-22 16:26
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +95 $15 $8 $-7 07-21 16:14
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -142 $-6 $-6 +$0 07-16 21:48
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -82 $-6 $-6 +$1 07-15 10:07
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? Yes -11 $-6 36¢ $-4 +$2 06-15 07:31
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes -81 $-4 $-3 +$2 06-15 19:42
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -22 $11 $-2 $-13 07-16 21:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -17 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-16 21:49
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-15 10:06
Spain snap election called in 2026? Yes -3 $-1 20¢ $-1 +$1 06-19 17:33