Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

82.7%

Resolved

Trades

333

lifetime

Volume

$768

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$52

15 positions

First seen

2026-05-29

last 11-06 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

57% 75% +$6

Other

40% 89% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	+43	$23	43¢	$18	-$5	11-05 10:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+6	$5	88¢	$5	$0	10-27 10:41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	10-26 22:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+7	$5	69¢	$5	$0	10-05 18:42
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$4	99¢	$4	$0	10-26 06:20
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	+4	$3	95¢	$3	$0	11-06 04:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+3	$2	77¢	$2	+$0	10-27 14:08
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	10-07 11:26
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	$0	09-10 19:45
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	+1	$1	97¢	$1	+$0	10-29 17:18
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	+1	$1	98¢	$1	$0	11-06 09:36
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	+1	$1	96¢	$1	+$0	09-19 01:36
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	+1	$0	92¢	$1	+$0	11-05 10:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	+0	$0	50¢	$0	$0	10-21 15:34
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	94¢	$0	+$0	11-05 10:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 09:36:18	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf6caf3…
11-06 04:05:43	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9975ab…
11-05 10:13:46	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x768d19…
11-05 10:13:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xaeddd1…
11-05 10:13:34	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb93f91…
11-05 10:13:33	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0xa83cd3…
11-05 10:13:33	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x095b6c…
11-05 10:13:33	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0302b9…
11-05 10:13:33	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x02a1de…
11-02 18:09:51	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x93e633…
11-02 16:52:37	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xeeab70…
11-01 19:22:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	No	BUY	2	95¢	$1	0xd9095f…
11-01 08:56:45	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x6cfced…
11-01 01:58:10	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5d9ca8…
11-01 01:06:42	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x51d93a…
10-30 19:23:40	US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xf78144…
10-30 01:49:45	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xe786e2…
10-30 01:47:52	Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x594b96…
10-29 17:39:53	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	3	96¢	$2	0x1a7c5d…
10-29 17:18:46	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x366a14…
10-29 09:51:59	Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x561b7e…
10-28 18:49:11	Iran leadership change by November 30?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa45769…
10-27 14:08:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf1138c…
10-27 10:41:15	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x137cca…
10-27 08:21:26	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x25c717…
10-27 07:48:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x65f2ee…
10-27 07:35:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0xa99af6…
10-27 06:59:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x6dfd90…
10-27 06:38:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x919a3e…
10-27 00:34:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	0	81¢	$0	0x4087e1…
10-26 22:15:36	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x690d51…
10-26 21:08:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1ee3d9…
10-26 06:20:53	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf052f0…
10-26 06:20:53	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x0ad21b…
10-26 06:20:00	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x529965…
10-26 06:19:59	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$1	0x825882…
10-25 22:26:48	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x4efb3b…
10-25 18:57:42	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9a1b23…
10-25 08:40:05	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x93754c…
10-25 07:34:33	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xd0c24f…
10-25 06:32:11	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x198c13…
10-23 20:00:29	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4bc2fa…
10-23 19:53:00	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbbfdec…
10-23 19:51:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x5dde3a…
10-23 13:21:44	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x6bbea6…
10-23 12:42:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7716af…
10-23 10:49:30	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9dcd88…
10-23 10:47:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x869e3c…
10-23 10:45:41	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xddab9c…
10-23 10:31:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeffc02…
10-23 09:20:05	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x9b432b…
10-23 08:29:26	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa6094f…
10-23 08:27:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x65421d…
10-23 08:25:36	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xf8d01c…
10-23 08:20:56	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x1adafc…
10-23 08:20:45	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x1a01d8…
10-23 08:06:02	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa45fec…
10-23 08:01:21	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xeb1c60…
10-23 07:56:41	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xa96666…
10-23 07:56:29	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	8	94¢	$8	0x99ea04…
10-23 07:50:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0xd9712d…
10-23 07:47:08	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x61242e…
10-23 07:43:29	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x553587…
10-23 07:33:18	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8def4f…
10-23 07:31:23	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xeadac5…
10-23 07:26:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x5c920f…
10-23 07:22:02	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xe2d061…
10-23 07:03:32	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x30591f…
10-23 06:23:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x016968…
10-23 06:22:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x075bfb…
10-23 06:20:08	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0xc91a37…
10-22 18:52:50	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x091201…
10-22 16:11:27	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x926855…
10-22 15:13:54	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xd85dfe…
10-22 13:56:35	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x882559…
10-22 07:42:45	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb0f773…
10-21 15:34:24	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xb2ddc0…
10-21 13:55:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0x591892…
10-21 12:38:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	52¢	$0	0x7c1bd0…
10-21 07:41:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x70edcd…
10-21 07:12:14	Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x3b548f…
10-20 01:12:30	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x19a599…
10-19 13:20:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x46a68f…
10-19 11:04:57	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x73c70b…
10-19 05:46:18	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0x42d858…
10-18 20:55:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4f3c07…
10-18 20:55:42	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x1f156e…
10-18 07:00:03	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x4e95a1…
10-15 17:46:46	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xd48d5a…
10-15 07:21:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xf5424b…
10-15 00:34:26	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6e3642…
10-14 08:19:13	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x69fec8…
10-14 06:09:59	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x9c6993…
10-13 14:20:28	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb43f46…
10-12 16:28:47	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xded21d…
10-12 06:56:47	Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x122cfb…
10-09 05:23:36	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xad2f4a…
10-08 11:29:27	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xe971d2…
10-08 05:35:34	Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$0	0xc809d0…
10-07 22:27:49	Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xa03229…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	13	$108	115	72	+43	open	—	11-05 10:13
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	26	$84	44	44	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 20:00
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?	28	$78	43	38	+4	open	—	10-26 06:20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	21	$51	33	27	+6	open	—	10-27 10:41
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	16	$50	29	26	+3	Yes	+$0	09-20 20:29
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	20	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	10-23 07:56
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	8	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	09-18 15:33
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?	10	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	11-01 08:56
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	10	$19	13	7	+5	open	—	10-26 22:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$19	11	8	+3	No	+$0	09-10 19:45
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	10	$18	17	2	+15	Yes	+$0	09-22 21:10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?	11	$17	112	112	+0	No	-$1	06-05 19:28
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	09-21 08:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	7	$14	8	8	+0	Yes	$0	07-08 12:45
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	10	$13	10	5	+5	Yes	+$0	10-26 06:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	8	$13	7	6	+1	open	—	11-06 09:36
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?	8	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	11-05 10:13
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$12	7	6	+1	open	—	11-05 10:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?	7	$11	6	5	+2	No	+$0	09-10 19:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	No	$0	06-24 13:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?	3	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	06-15 12:09
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	06-05 20:42
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	7	$9	6	4	+1	open	—	09-10 19:45
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?	9	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	11-05 10:13
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?	6	$9	6	3	+3	No	+$0	09-17 10:47
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	3	$8	9	0	+9	No	+$1	10-26 06:19
Russia coup attempt in 2026?	11	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	10-06 19:55
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	4	$6	4	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-23 10:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	2	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	09-25 18:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?	2	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	10-05 18:42