Realized P&L (30d)
+$29
Unrealized P&L
+$150
Hit rate
87.7%
Resolved (30d)
4
Trades (30d)
28
120 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$2.74K
$10.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$2.41K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-20
last 11-08 00:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
60% 80% +$173
Politics
36% 72% +$1
Crypto
3% 100% +$18
Tech
0% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Discord IPO before 2027? No +664 $559 97¢ $645 +$86 10-10 14:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +518 $400 86¢ $443 +$43 09-05 18:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +417 $333 90¢ $373 +$40 10-25 21:10
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No +206 $164 83¢ $171 +$7 10-25 21:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -152 -$99 96¢ $-145 -$46 09-24 11:42
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? No +150 $116 86¢ $130 +$13 11-08 00:00
will natalie harp be the next white house press secretary 2027 No +98 $90 98¢ $95 +$5 10-16 21:13
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,695 -$92 5¢ $-79 +$14 09-06 11:30
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -79 -$74 97¢ $-77 -$3 09-06 11:30
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -62 -$59 98¢ $-61 -$1 08-25 01:04
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027? No +65 $58 90¢ $58 $0 11-07 19:47
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -59 -$48 98¢ $-58 -$10 05-12 12:16
Trump impeached and removed before 2028? No +46 $35 83¢ $38 +$3 11-05 15:03
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No -36 -$35 98¢ $-35 $0 11-06 13:50