(anonymous) 0xca3e3a…a0f91c Create alert
bot new 2W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
47.2%
Resolved
65
Trades
768
lifetime
Volume
$263
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$49
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-05
last 11-10 04:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
57% 5% +$1
Other
42% 0% -$5
Crypto
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between November 2-November 8? Yes +20 $1 21¢ $4 +$4 11-07 06:38
Will 150-169 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 9-November 15? Yes +20 $1 18¢ $4 +$3 11-08 13:54
Will Junts win the most seats in Girona in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +20 $1 15¢ $3 +$2 11-06 14:51
SPLC found guilty in 2026? Yes +20 $1 13¢ $3 +$2 11-05 07:38
Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 12, 2026? Yes +20 $0 12¢ $2 +$2 11-05 18:59
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election by 0.9%-1.2%? Yes +10 $0 18¢ $2 +$2 11-06 19:08
Will Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 9¢ $2 +$1 11-05 08:20
260-264 votes for Hakeem Jeffries to be Speaker on first ballot? Yes +20 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 11-09 14:56
Will PSOE win the second-most seats in Barcelona in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +20 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 11-07 11:00
Will ERC win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +10 $0 17¢ $2 +$2 11-06 07:23
Will PP win the Spanish election by 36+ seats over PSOE? Yes +20 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 11-08 10:37
Will the right bloc win the Spanish election by 1-9 seats? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 +$1 11-05 10:02
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 +$1 11-08 05:27
Will Broad Front (FA) win 6-8 seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 +$1 11-08 16:46
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by November 30, 2026? Yes +20 $1 7¢ $1 +$1 11-05 16:17
Alcatraz reopened in 2026? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 11-09 17:05
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 11-09 23:48
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $0 6¢ $1 +$1 11-05 10:33
Will Zumretay Arkin win the 2026 Laurier—Sainte-Marie by-election? Yes — +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 11-05 22:37
Will Chuang Ching-cheng win Hsinchu City and Hsu Hsin-ying win Hsinchu County? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 11-06 01:37
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 11-08 12:28
Will the right bloc win the Spanish election by 80+ seats? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 11-05 17:35
Will Dave Carroll win the 2026 Brantford—Brant South by-election? Yes +10 $0 11¢ $1 +$1 11-08 13:51
Will there be between 15 and 19 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on November 30? Yes +20 $1 6¢ $1 +$1 11-07 17:30
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by November 30, 2026? No +20 $0 5¢ $1 +$1 11-07 03:58
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +20 $0 5¢ $1 +$1 11-06 03:44
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 11-07 15:50
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 11-07 11:50
Will Giedrius Dainys win the 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 11-06 13:19
Poland snap election called by December 31? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 11-07 19:32