Realized P&L (90d)
+$27
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
82.5%
Resolved (90d)
61
Trades (90d)
70
754 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$652
$4.69K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$1
8 positions
First seen
2026-05-18
last 08-29 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
39% 73% +$24
Politics
31% 71% +$13
Crypto
22% 57% -$66
Sports
7% 60% -$8
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? Yes +0 -$12 99¢ $0 +$13 06-28 13:45
Will a US court rule that the 2020 election was fradulent? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$1 07-03 07:42
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +0 -$3 97¢ $0 +$3 08-20 17:46
Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026? Yes — +0 -$2 99¢ $0 +$2 06-14 02:21
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +0 $0 14¢ $0 $0 07-18 05:45
Will Josh Shapiro be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 08-22 02:28
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested before 2027? Yes +1 -$1 2¢ $0 +$1 08-12 08:03
Will Trump pardon Keonne Rodriguez before 2027? Yes +0 -$3 9¢ $0 +$3 07-22 21:28