Realized P&L
-$319
Unrealized P&L
-$994
Hit rate
86.0%
Resolved
238
Trades
355
lifetime
Volume
$17.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$4.25K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-17
last 08-09 13:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Politics
55% 69% +$149
Crypto
24% 56% +$18
Other
16% 79% -$605
Tech
5% 90% +$119
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -2,004 -$1,363 97¢ $-1941 -$578 06-04 01:26
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,202 -$1,070 96¢ $-1154 -$84 06-04 01:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -750 -$413 96¢ $-721 -$308 06-06 13:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No -122 -$104 98¢ $-120 -$16 06-05 14:28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -143 -$119 82¢ $-116 +$2 06-05 14:23
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -78 -$67 94¢ $-74 -$7 06-05 14:24
US recession by end of 2026? No -71 -$66 94¢ $-67 -$1 08-09 13:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -16 -$15 98¢ $-16 -$1 08-09 13:33
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -14 -$13 97¢ $-14 $0 08-09 13:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -13 -$12 97¢ $-12 $0 08-08 15:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 -$11 96¢ $-12 $0 08-09 13:35
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -7 -$6 97¢ $-6 -$1 06-05 14:30