Realized P&L
+$347
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
85.2%
Resolved
227
Trades
539
lifetime
Volume
$16.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$1.14K
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-21
last 10-06 09:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Sports
61% 25% +$97
Politics
18% 40% -$97
Other
16% 32% +$352
Crypto
3% 53% -$6
Tech
1% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -353 -$324 98¢ $-346 -$22 06-02 19:01
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026? No -213 -$206 99¢ $-211 -$5 06-05 20:54
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +170 $110 97¢ $165 +$55 07-12 08:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -155 -$151 97¢ $-150 +$1 10-06 09:20
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -110 -$107 98¢ $-107 $0 07-10 09:06
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +62 $47 96¢ $59 +$12 07-10 09:08
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No -35 -$28 90¢ $-32 -$3 06-03 08:00
Stripe IPO before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 06-13 22:37
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -10 -$9 96¢ $-10 $0 06-21 20:58
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 -$9 94¢ $-9 $0 06-09 10:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -9 -$6 96¢ $-9 -$2 05-03 12:45
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +10 $7 82¢ $8 +$2 08-21 21:06
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +10 $4 80¢ $8 +$4 07-12 08:22
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8 No +10 $7 74¢ $8 +$1 08-21 21:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -3 -$2 82¢ $-2 $0 05-07 15:30
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +32 $3 6¢ $2 -$1 07-10 09:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +11 $5 12¢ $1 -$4 06-13 22:28