Realized P&L (90d)
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$48
Hit rate
6.9%
Resolved (90d)
3
Trades (90d)
24
24 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$86
$86 lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$97
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-11 15:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
64% 50% $-0
Politics
36% 0% $-10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +796 $10 $54 +$44 05-10 12:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +135 $14 $12 $-2 05-11 15:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +34 $7 28¢ $9 +$2 05-07 10:39
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? Yes +14 $5 39¢ $5 +$1 05-10 17:00
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? Yes -35 $-5 12¢ $-4 +$0 05-08 21:36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes +137 $4 $3 $-1 05-10 15:47
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Yes +105 $3 $2 $-0 05-10 15:47
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Yes +71 $5 $2 $-3 05-10 12:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes +100 $2 $1 $-1 05-10 22:27
Exact Score: Kasımpaşa SK 0 - 2 Galatasaray SK? Yes -2 $-0 48¢ $-1 $-1 05-10 21:01
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes +167 $1 $1 +$0 05-10 22:27
Will Trump visit China by May 15? No -743 $-10 $-1 +$9 05-11 14:35
Will MrBeast hit 488 million subscribers by June 30? No -207 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-11 15:05