Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
52.9%
Resolved
41
Trades
1,611
lifetime
Volume
$3.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$42
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 07-01 03:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
45% 57% +$19
Politics
43%
Sports
9% 39% $-26
Tech
2%
Crypto
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 84¢ $-7 $-1 06-05 14:31
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes -10 $-7 67¢ $-7 +$0 06-30 12:26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -8 $-6 80¢ $-6 $-0 06-30 12:27
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 98¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 14:16
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -5 $-3 66¢ $-3 $-0 06-30 12:28
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes +5 $9 29¢ $1 $-8 06-30 12:26
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -2 $-2 70¢ $-1 +$1 06-30 12:27
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 $-0 06-26 08:07
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No -1 $-2 84¢ $-1 +$0 06-30 12:27
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -1 $-1 74¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:28
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -1 $-1 90¢ $-1 $-0 06-10 15:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 05-31 08:15
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:28
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -1 $-1 96¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:29
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No -1 $-1 85¢ $-1 $-0 06-30 12:28
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No -1 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-14 13:38
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 10:02
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -19 $-1 $-1 +$1 05-28 14:57
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +17 $3 $0 $-3 06-30 12:25