Realized P&L
-$7
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
52.9%
Resolved
41
Trades
1,274
lifetime
Volume
$2.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$110
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-14
last 06-11 18:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
45% 57% +$19
Politics
42%
Sports
12% 39% $-26
Tech
1%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-6 76¢ $-7 $-0 06-05 14:31
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Yes +9 $6 74¢ $6 +$0 06-11 19:11
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? No +10 $5 56¢ $6 +$0 06-09 00:06
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes +8 $6 70¢ $6 $-0 05-29 03:16
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No -7 $-4 84¢ $-6 $-2 05-28 01:57
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor? Yes +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 06-05 16:16
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +10 $5 46¢ $5 $-0 06-08 00:09
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$1 06-05 14:16
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:19
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +23 $6 18¢ $4 $-2 06-07 09:19
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +17 $2 24¢ $4 +$1 06-11 18:39
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-11 10:42
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:17
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 74¢ $4 +$1 06-08 08:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$0 06-05 14:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +5 $3 72¢ $3 +$0 06-03 07:23
Trump goes to space in 2026? No -3 $-3 96¢ $-3 $-0 06-05 14:16
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 $-0 06-07 05:16
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? No +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 06-08 20:39
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +5 $3 64¢ $3 +$0 06-07 14:50
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +14 $4 22¢ $3 $-0 06-10 01:53
Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +5 $3 59¢ $3 $-0 06-11 19:29
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $3 56¢ $3 $-0 06-05 22:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +5 $3 52¢ $3 $-1 06-05 14:17
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes +22 $3 11¢ $2 $-1 06-03 23:58
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 +$0 06-09 02:19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 06-03 08:58
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? No +5 $2 35¢ $2 +$0 06-05 19:24
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? No +19 $2 $2 $-0 06-02 20:36
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-1 84¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 09:36