Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$275

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

1.2%

Resolved

156

Trades

2,902

lifetime

Volume

$33.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-07

last 10-29 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Politics

45% 5% -$114

Other

41% 5% -$78

Tech

13% 0% -$79

Sports

2% 25% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 224 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?	Yes		+0	$2	4¢	$0	-$2	10-21 10:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	98	$1.5K	1,399	1,399	+0	open	—	09-23 12:31
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	39	$527	480	480	+0	open	—	09-28 06:46
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	28	$525	401	401	+0	open	—	10-03 20:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	20	$467	296	296	+0	open	—	09-13 05:55
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	36	$466	371	371	+0	Yes	-$4	09-10 22:49
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	32	$409	292	292	+0	open	—	09-28 00:47
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Superheavy explode?	20	$376	340	340	+0	Yes	-$5	09-27 10:27
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	20	$317	293	293	+0	open	—	09-23 12:31
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	19	$309	281	281	+0	open	—	09-12 21:27
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	26	$308	275	275	+0	No	-$2	09-09 17:12
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	13	$304	224	224	+0	open	—	09-10 08:35
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	23	$297	291	291	+0	Yes	-$3	09-28 07:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	26	$289	245	245	+0	open	—	09-27 04:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?	21	$263	307	307	+0	open	—	10-24 23:45
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $1.50 and $2.00 on December 31, 2026?	12	$253	170	170	+0	open	—	10-07 15:04
Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?	8	$244	144	144	+0	open	—	09-25 16:37
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	22	$244	200	200	+0	Yes	-$3	09-09 23:48
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	24	$243	313	313	+0	open	—	10-26 01:21
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	23	$241	287	287	+0	No	-$2	09-10 16:38
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	15	$241	240	240	+0	open	—	09-28 01:07
Will AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?	10	$234	173	173	+0	No	-$5	09-18 12:36
Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	10	$222	138	138	-0	open	—	10-28 07:19
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher?	13	$217	160	160	+0	open	—	09-30 20:15
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	24	$210	225	225	+0	open	—	10-26 17:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	21	$200	201	201	+0	open	—	09-28 03:16
Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	13	$195	179	179	+0	open	—	10-27 19:32
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?	21	$178	275	275	+0	open	—	10-15 09:42
Will José Maria Neves win the Cape Verde presidential election?	6	$177	110	110	+0	open	—	09-08 13:51
Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?	6	$177	102	102	+0	open	—	09-18 16:50
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	6	$171	96	96	+0	open	—	09-24 09:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:05:28	Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x02bf36…
10-29 17:05:26	Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xe220f9…
10-29 17:05:26	Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xdde435…
10-29 17:05:26	Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0xc2695f…
10-29 17:05:26	Will Alibaba be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xbd2ef3…
10-29 17:05:26	Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x9427bf…
10-29 17:05:26	Will Derrick Henry have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x7e11ea…
10-29 17:05:26	Will MC win the most seats in the 2027 Querétaro Congress election?	Yes	SELL	1	6¢	$0	0x26622a…
10-29 17:05:25	Will RFS be relegated from the 2026 Virslīga (Latvia)?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xf42dac…
10-29 17:05:25	Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x66d2bf…
10-29 17:05:25	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x594442…
10-29 17:05:25	Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	No	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x21126a…
10-29 17:05:01	Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0xf8a8d4…
10-29 17:05:01	Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xe94cb2…
10-29 17:05:01	Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xbf77cb…
10-29 17:05:01	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	No	SELL	1	47¢	$0	0xae01bc…
10-29 17:05:01	Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?	No	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0xa7b93e…
10-29 17:05:01	Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x77f0eb…
10-29 17:05:01	Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?	Yes	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0x4f2cdc…
10-29 17:05:01	Will Bloomberg IPO by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0x4f20c3…
10-29 17:05:01	Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x41bc91…
10-29 17:05:01	Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 75% or higher?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x19a7c7…
10-29 17:04:59	Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xf14798…
10-29 17:04:59	Will Mutfwang Caleb Manasseh win the 2027 Plateau State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xe87fe2…
10-29 17:04:59	Will Chinda Kingsley Ogundu win the 2027 Rivers State gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	4	10¢	$0	0xa42f2a…
10-29 17:04:59	SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x6bbdd3…
10-29 17:04:43	Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0xa31a3b…
10-29 17:03:29	Will Ro Khanna be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?	No	SELL	11	83¢	$9	0xf3a1ff…
10-29 17:03:29	Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0xc4a92a…
10-29 17:03:29	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2028?	Yes	SELL	40	80¢	$32	0x9a1081…
10-29 17:03:29	Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x05dacd…
10-29 11:30:34	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x876f2d…
10-29 11:30:32	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xe483e4…
10-29 11:01:22	Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	40	88¢	$35	0xb37861…
10-29 11:01:20	Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0xefa781…
10-29 10:49:55	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0xe9ffc1…
10-29 10:49:53	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x743370…
10-29 10:22:46	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x06e494…
10-29 10:22:44	Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xf070ab…
10-29 08:02:14	Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?	No	SELL	24	46¢	$11	0xf67c19…
10-29 08:02:11	Will Donald Trump endorse J.D. Vance in the 2028 US Presidential election?	No	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x6b6ae9…
10-29 08:00:10	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xc0cfb4…
10-29 08:00:08	Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xde1184…
10-29 07:50:07	Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0xb03d00…
10-28 23:53:35	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xb6eaa9…
10-28 23:53:32	Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic vice-presidential nomination?	No	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x68516c…
10-28 21:02:22	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x4fe74d…
10-28 21:02:19	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xdd0835…
10-28 14:32:32	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	91¢	$35	0x0476c5…
10-28 14:32:31	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0xf79a51…
10-28 14:00:31	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x2d6740…
10-28 14:00:29	Will there be at least 5500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x5b9430…
10-28 11:35:11	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x38e115…
10-28 11:35:08	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x2d5a75…
10-28 11:28:50	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xaaa683…
10-28 11:28:49	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xcc1a38…
10-28 10:42:05	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x22949d…
10-28 10:42:02	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x15d2e6…
10-28 10:40:28	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x86be3b…
10-28 10:40:25	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?	Yes	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x7b24ab…
10-28 09:24:04	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$37	0x63ff90…
10-28 09:24:01	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0xc3ec1f…
10-28 07:45:04	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$19	0xd8cca4…
10-28 07:45:02	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x79db9c…
10-28 07:19:58	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x15b5ad…
10-28 07:19:56	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xfa3d0d…
10-28 05:12:11	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x277155…
10-28 02:18:02	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x14e7b8…
10-28 02:17:57	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x046867…
10-27 19:40:12	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x15213b…
10-27 19:40:09	Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x2c4f01…
10-27 19:32:27	Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0xaec24b…
10-27 19:32:26	Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x1eb1eb…
10-27 17:24:21	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0xf75998…
10-27 17:01:51	Will Gretchen Whitmer be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb3de50…
10-27 10:50:11	Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0xd233c4…
10-27 10:32:24	Will Liberal–National win the most seats in the next New South Wales state election?	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x15ae05…
10-27 09:36:21	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0xb9fc76…
10-27 09:28:21	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0x66dc84…
10-27 09:28:18	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x7086e0…
10-27 03:36:51	Will Carlos Torres Piña win the 2027 Michoacán Governor Election?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x9fab9d…
10-27 03:19:51	Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?	No	SELL	21	82¢	$17	0xb388c7…
10-27 02:54:41	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0x7286af…
10-27 02:54:39	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x25cf2c…
10-27 02:54:24	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	40	92¢	$37	0x0ddf85…
10-27 02:54:23	Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x6434ec…
10-26 22:43:23	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xd72e4a…
10-26 22:43:18	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x1f15f5…
10-26 21:42:39	Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?	No	SELL	19	85¢	$17	0x9a2ee4…
10-26 19:04:00	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x83ec43…
10-26 19:03:59	Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2028?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xbcd5c4…
10-26 18:39:12	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x15f244…
10-26 18:39:08	Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x06014e…
10-26 17:53:17	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xec5c00…
10-26 17:53:14	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x4e01a7…
10-26 16:33:18	Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xda76ab…
10-26 16:33:17	Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x978af9…
10-26 16:33:15	Will Jordan Bardella leave the National Rally by March 31, 2027?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd15397…
10-26 13:56:14	Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf96986…
10-26 13:56:11	Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xaaa3e8…