XRP Up or Down - May 12, 8PM ET
open
Total volume
$204
Trades
29
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$707
Latest YES mid
61¢
Latest NO mid
39¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 00:42
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-39.5¢
(top1%: 49% YES on $4
vs crowd: 89% YES on $203)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $158 | $20 | +$138 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| Median | 2 | $12 | $10 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 6 | $127 | $1 | +$126 |
| unranked | 1 | $5 | $4 | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concrete-Assumption 0x5611…051d | Up | +55 | $51 | $51 | 3 | 05-13 00:41 |
| Decimal-Split 0x9291…6232 | Up | +40 | $37 | $37 | 2 | 05-13 00:41 |
| (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Up | +35 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 05-13 00:05 |
| Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Up | +23 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-13 00:42 |
| Phony-Contingency 0xa6e2…fa8f | Up | +19 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-13 00:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd622…fe08 | Up | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:50 |
| (anonymous) 0xd622…fe08 | Down | +19 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:50 |
| Regal-Sail 0xc748…cdad | Up | +18 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 00:05 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +15 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:42 |
| Hateful-Tract 0xaa57…8f53 | Up | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 00:38 |
| Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 5 | 05-12 23:17 |
| jerr 0xef9f…e446 | Down | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 00:17 |
| Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Up | +9 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 23:17 |
| Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Down | +9 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 23:17 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 00:36 |
| Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:42:21 | Orderly-Balance 0xea58…520c | Up | BUY | 23 | 85¢ | $20 | 0xe5f89c… |
| 05-13 00:42:19 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 15 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xcdbfb9… |
| 05-13 00:42:11 | Spectacular-Glockenspiel 0x70d0…075f | Down | SELL | 14 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x032230… |
| 05-13 00:41:23 | Decimal-Split 0x9291…6232 | Up | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xc3e832… |
| 05-13 00:41:23 | Concrete-Assumption 0x5611…051d | Up | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xbbc711… |
| 05-13 00:41:23 | Decimal-Split 0x9291…6232 | Up | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x7bda2a… |
| 05-13 00:41:23 | Concrete-Assumption 0x5611…051d | Up | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x7799b6… |
| 05-13 00:41:22 | Concrete-Assumption 0x5611…051d | Up | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x99cee6… |
| 05-13 00:38:28 | Hateful-Tract 0xaa57…8f53 | Up | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x03c703… |
| 05-13 00:36:03 | (anonymous) 0x093c…7f43 | Up | BUY | 3 | 69¢ | $2 | 0xd1a42b… |
| 05-13 00:17:21 | jerr 0xef9f…e446 | Down | BUY | 9 | 55¢ | $5 | 0x959dda… |
| 05-13 00:16:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x8ccebb… |
| 05-13 00:06:27 | Triangular-Pea 0x007b…c181 | Down | BUY | 2 | 49¢ | $1 | 0xd9f2f8… |
| 05-13 00:05:47 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Up | BUY | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x5b5c2e… |
| 05-13 00:05:47 | Phony-Contingency 0xa6e2…fa8f | Up | BUY | 7 | 54¢ | $4 | 0x396ee3… |
| 05-13 00:05:47 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Up | BUY | 7 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x636f90… |
| 05-13 00:05:36 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Up | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0xa6ab2a… |
| 05-13 00:05:36 | Phony-Contingency 0xa6e2…fa8f | Up | BUY | 12 | 56¢ | $7 | 0xb120d4… |
| 05-13 00:05:36 | (anonymous) 0x28f8…b5f7 | Up | BUY | 11 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x73ff65… |
| 05-13 00:05:34 | Regal-Sail 0xc748…cdad | Up | BUY | 18 | 55¢ | $10 | 0x69ce41… |
| 05-12 23:50:17 | (anonymous) 0xd622…fe08 | Down | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0x823c27… |
| 05-12 23:50:14 | (anonymous) 0xd622…fe08 | Up | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0x4fa8c5… |
| 05-12 23:17:13 | Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Up | BUY | 9 | 53¢ | $5 | 0x97800c… |
| 05-12 23:17:11 | Timely-Patina 0x7d47…15b5 | Down | BUY | 9 | 52¢ | $4 | 0x145a52… |
| 05-12 23:17:09 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xc069e1… |
| 05-12 23:17:09 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x8f2c0c… |
| 05-12 23:16:10 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x773a1c… |
| 05-12 23:16:10 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0x2d84c4… |
| 05-12 23:08:09 | Exhausted-Cricketer 0x1749…55ca | Up | BUY | 2 | 52¢ | $1 | 0xebb7d7… |