Ethereum Up or Down - November 12, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$1,846
$1,660 in 24h
Trades
268
Unique wallets
55
Liquidity
$970
Latest YES mid
26¢
Latest NO mid
74¢
End date
2026-11-13
First seen
2026-11-12
last 11-13 00:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.8¢
(top1%: 41% YES on $1.1K
vs crowd: 42% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $453 | $679 | $226 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 22 | $147 | $129 | +$18 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $90 | $143 | $53 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $27 | $35 | $8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $459 | $652 | $193 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 19 | $80 | $70 | +$10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $14 | $12 | +$2 |
| Median | 3 | $1 | $23 | $22 |
| Below median | 7 | $22 | $19 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $11 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $72 | $133 | $61 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $68 | $66 | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +883 | $557 | $557 | 40 | 11-13 00:34 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +571 | $298 | $298 | 33 | 11-13 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | +270 | $72 | $72 | 11 | 11-13 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | +150 | $49 | $49 | 5 | 11-12 23:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +100 | $38 | $38 | 5 | 11-13 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xed22…34d0 | Down | +99 | $52 | $52 | 5 | 11-12 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0xed22…34d0 | Up | +99 | $44 | $44 | 5 | 11-13 00:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | +92 | $20 | $151 | 27 | 11-13 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +80 | $56 | $56 | 4 | 11-13 00:46 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Up | +65 | $27 | $27 | 8 | 11-12 23:23 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Down | +53 | $29 | $29 | 5 | 11-12 23:08 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | Up | +33 | $14 | $38 | 3 | 11-12 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x9bf4…5f09 | Down | +33 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-12 16:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | Up | +30 | $16 | $16 | 4 | 11-13 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | Up | +26 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 11-13 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0de8…9e17 | Up | +23 | $11 | $11 | 5 | 11-13 00:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | Down | +22 | $12 | $12 | 3 | 11-12 22:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x7b7a…9bdb | Down | +21 | $10 | $10 | 5 | 11-12 23:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c7b…6863 | Up | +20 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 11-12 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c8b…ec48 | Down | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 11-13 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | Down | +20 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 11-13 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x0de8…9e17 | Down | +20 | $8 | $8 | 4 | 11-12 23:53 |
| Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Up | +16 | $0 | $1 | 5 | 11-13 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Down | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 00:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x76c5…ca79 | Down | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 00:59 |
| Trustworthy-Personnel 0x39fa…cf2a | Down | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 11-13 00:45 |
| (anonymous) 0xdca5…dbc7 | Up | +12 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd5c…74ca | Down | +12 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 11-12 23:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x79ed…ba35 | Down | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-13 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x0429…4c74 | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x3051…b788 | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 11-12 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9209…a393 | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-12 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xd892…f028 | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 00:25 |
| Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 00:25 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-13 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 00:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xe81a…97ea | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-12 23:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x568c…29ec | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a44…6881 | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-13 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xc652…8387 | Up | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-13 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf845…c785 | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-12 21:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c7b…6863 | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-12 21:48 |
| Defensive-Embellishment 0x5d63…0608 | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 11-13 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8cad…345f | Down | +10 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 11-12 21:05 |
| Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Down | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-13 00:41 |
| Excited-Cutlet 0x4cd4…8a5c | Up | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 00:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x977a…4b41 | Down | +7 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 11-12 23:49 |
| Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 00:17 |
| Gummy-Hook 0xfb87…f53d | Down | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 00:36 |
| Wealthy-Blast 0x5b69…a6af | Down | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-13 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3d1…9c9b | Down | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-13 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x3051…b788 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 11-12 21:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-12 21:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-13 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5616…4b4d | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-13 00:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | +2 | -$15 | $96 | 17 | 11-12 22:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-13 00:59:58 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bd9e2… |
| 11-13 00:59:58 | (anonymous) 0x76c5…ca79 | Down | BUY | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0x4bd9e2… |
| 11-13 00:59:58 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4bd9e2… |
| 11-13 00:59:01 | Wealthy-Blast 0x5b69…a6af | Down | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x549d59… |
| 11-13 00:59:01 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Up | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x549d59… |
| 11-13 00:58:15 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfc32c4… |
| 11-13 00:58:15 | (anonymous) 0x6c8b…ec48 | Down | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xfc32c4… |
| 11-13 00:58:03 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77c174… |
| 11-13 00:58:03 | (anonymous) 0x3455…1735 | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x77c174… |
| 11-13 00:58:03 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x77c174… |
| 11-13 00:46:43 | Defensive-Embellishment 0x5d63…0608 | Down | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x55bb79… |
| 11-13 00:46:43 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 44 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x55bb79… |
| 11-13 00:46:43 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 34 | 95¢ | $32 | 0x55bb79… |
| 11-13 00:45:21 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x757abb… |
| 11-13 00:45:21 | Trustworthy-Personnel 0x39fa…cf2a | Down | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x757abb… |
| 11-13 00:41:04 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Down | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xb07a3e… |
| 11-13 00:41:04 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb07a3e… |
| 11-13 00:40:12 | (anonymous) 0x79ed…ba35 | Down | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $11 | 0x55653f… |
| 11-13 00:40:12 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 11 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x55653f… |
| 11-13 00:40:03 | Hospitable-Zone 0x8ead…f333 | Down | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0c93b3… |
| 11-13 00:40:03 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x0c93b3… |
| 11-13 00:39:52 | (anonymous) 0x1a5d…d3cb | Down | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe615d4… |
| 11-13 00:39:52 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 1 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xe615d4… |
| 11-13 00:39:13 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Up | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfab73f… |
| 11-13 00:39:13 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfab73f… |
| 11-13 00:36:37 | (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | Up | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb1fe7e… |
| 11-13 00:36:37 | Gummy-Hook 0xfb87…f53d | Down | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0xb1fe7e… |
| 11-13 00:36:36 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | SELL | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcb3882… |
| 11-13 00:36:36 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Up | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xcb3882… |
| 11-13 00:36:24 | (anonymous) 0x5616…4b4d | Down | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xa077ac… |
| 11-13 00:36:24 | Kindhearted-Strap 0x79cb…331e | Up | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa077ac… |
| 11-13 00:36:15 | (anonymous) 0xc3d1…9c9b | Down | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xad4f0d… |
| 11-13 00:36:15 | Squiggly-Coach 0x3a0b…d29d | Up | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xad4f0d… |
| 11-13 00:34:25 | (anonymous) 0xdca5…dbc7 | Up | BUY | 12 | 21¢ | $3 | 0x60efdb… |
| 11-13 00:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | Down | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x60efdb… |
| 11-13 00:34:25 | (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | Down | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x60efdb… |
| 11-13 00:34:22 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 24 | 22¢ | $5 | 0xff9a6c… |
| 11-13 00:34:22 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 24 | 78¢ | $19 | 0xff9a6c… |
| 11-13 00:33:03 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x6f51b6… |
| 11-13 00:33:03 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x6f51b6… |
| 11-13 00:32:39 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $23 | 0x197eea… |
| 11-13 00:32:39 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 30 | 22¢ | $7 | 0x197eea… |
| 11-13 00:32:37 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xac7350… |
| 11-13 00:32:37 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xac7350… |
| 11-13 00:32:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x9973e8… |
| 11-13 00:32:18 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x9973e8… |
| 11-13 00:30:40 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0x899831… |
| 11-13 00:30:40 | (anonymous) 0x8cad…345f | Up | BUY | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x899831… |
| 11-13 00:29:46 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0xa94c26… |
| 11-13 00:29:46 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 30 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xa94c26… |
| 11-13 00:28:43 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0x7860cb… |
| 11-13 00:28:43 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0x7860cb… |
| 11-13 00:27:40 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xbca5c9… |
| 11-13 00:27:40 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0xbca5c9… |
| 11-13 00:27:36 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 30 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x8dedf2… |
| 11-13 00:27:36 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 77¢ | $23 | 0x8dedf2… |
| 11-13 00:25:43 | (anonymous) 0xf1a2…516a | Up | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xb20daf… |
| 11-13 00:25:43 | Diligent-Short 0xac71…f74c | Up | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xb20daf… |
| 11-13 00:25:43 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0xb20daf… |
| 11-13 00:25:43 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 78 | 65¢ | $51 | 0xb20daf… |
| 11-13 00:25:43 | (anonymous) 0xc652…8387 | Up | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xb20daf… |
| 11-13 00:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x568c…29ec | Up | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xb20daf… |
| 11-13 00:25:43 | (anonymous) 0xd892…f028 | Up | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xb20daf… |
| 11-13 00:25:43 | Excited-Cutlet 0x4cd4…8a5c | Up | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $3 | 0xb20daf… |
| 11-13 00:25:43 | (anonymous) 0x0429…4c74 | Up | BUY | 10 | 35¢ | $4 | 0xb20daf… |
| 11-13 00:25:42 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 30 | 34¢ | $10 | 0x0bbef1… |
| 11-13 00:25:42 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 66¢ | $20 | 0x0bbef1… |
| 11-13 00:25:25 | (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | Up | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x5e14ee… |
| 11-13 00:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x3a44…6881 | Up | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0x5e14ee… |
| 11-13 00:25:25 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 15 | 62¢ | $9 | 0x5e14ee… |
| 11-13 00:25:22 | (anonymous) 0xd47c…c70a | Up | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x943e78… |
| 11-13 00:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x924c…65f0 | Up | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x943e78… |
| 11-13 00:25:22 | (anonymous) 0x1461…b97e | Up | BUY | 10 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x943e78… |
| 11-13 00:25:22 | (anonymous) 0xf845…c785 | Up | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0x943e78… |
| 11-13 00:25:22 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 25 | 61¢ | $15 | 0x943e78… |
| 11-13 00:24:58 | (anonymous) 0x8774…1c79 | Up | SELL | 9 | 41¢ | $3 | 0xc92870… |
| 11-13 00:24:58 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Up | BUY | 4 | 40¢ | $1 | 0xc92870… |
| 11-13 00:24:58 | (anonymous) 0x0de8…9e17 | Up | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xc92870… |
| 11-13 00:19:21 | (anonymous) 0x0de8…9e17 | Up | BUY | 3 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x2b612a… |
| 11-13 00:19:21 | (anonymous) 0xb7f0…6920 | Up | SELL | 3 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x2b612a… |
| 11-13 00:17:48 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x988bea… |
| 11-13 00:17:48 | (anonymous) 0xb7f0…6920 | Up | BUY | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xc7ac90… |
| 11-13 00:17:48 | Apprehensive-Breakdown 0xcc50…4c82 | Up | BUY | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xede562… |
| 11-13 00:17:48 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | SELL | 3 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xc7ac90… |
| 11-13 00:17:48 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | SELL | 6 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xede562… |
| 11-13 00:17:48 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x988bea… |
| 11-13 00:17:16 | (anonymous) 0x0de8…9e17 | Up | BUY | 5 | 47¢ | $2 | 0xe6ce05… |
| 11-13 00:17:16 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xe6ce05… |
| 11-13 00:14:01 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x43c23e… |
| 11-13 00:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x6c21…be9e | Up | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x43c23e… |
| 11-13 00:14:01 | (anonymous) 0x5eaf…ea07 | Up | BUY | 10 | 52¢ | $5 | 0x43c23e… |
| 11-13 00:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0x0f7ddc… |
| 11-13 00:11:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 30 | 46¢ | $14 | 0x0f7ddc… |
| 11-13 00:11:18 | (anonymous) 0x9d17…c777 | Up | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x0f7ddc… |
| 11-13 00:09:28 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 11 | 39¢ | $4 | 0x00ae83… |
| 11-13 00:09:28 | (anonymous) 0xed22…34d0 | Up | BUY | 11 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x00ae83… |
| 11-13 00:01:04 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | SELL | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x2d7be4… |
| 11-13 00:01:04 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x2d7be4… |
| 11-12 23:55:01 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0xdd033a… |
| 11-12 23:55:01 | (anonymous) 0xc7eb…e7ff | Down | BUY | 30 | 28¢ | $8 | 0xdd033a… |