Will Marriott (MAR) beat quarterly earnings?
Yes won
Total volume
$494
Trades
31
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-11-02
First seen
2026-10-29
last 11-02 12:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+20.4¢
(top1%: 99% YES on $183
vs crowd: 79% YES on $478)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $110 | $80 | +$31 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $6 | $1 | +$5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $251 | $19 | +$231 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $10 | $0 | +$10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 7 | $182 | $1 | +$181 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Below median | 2 | $10 | $0 | +$10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $74 | — | +$74 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $110 | $80 | +$31 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | +150 | $38 | $38 | 3 | 11-01 16:35 |
| Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | +132 | $97 | $97 | 2 | 11-01 14:28 |
| Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | +132 | $42 | $42 | 4 | 10-30 16:07 |
| LIBAI 0x124e…a8a9 | Yes | +106 | $83 | $83 | 2 | 11-01 16:35 |
| Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | Yes | +100 | $74 | $74 | 2 | 10-30 14:13 |
| Weary-Antechamber 0x830f…cda7 | Yes | +77 | $76 | $76 | 1 | 11-02 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +69 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-02 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a3…8e01 | No | +52 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 11-01 16:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | No | +32 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 11-01 14:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-30 17:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ac7…7b76 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-29 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 10-29 23:43 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 11-02 12:00 |
| Careful-Toughguy 0x3b79…6f9d | Yes | +8 | $0 | $33 | 3 | 10-30 17:49 |
| Inferior-Grain 0x2f63…6643 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-02 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x3c1d…da77 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-02 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7d5…6b08 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-29 23:43 |
| (anonymous) 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-02 12:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ea3…b7f3 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-02 12:00 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 12:00:07 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 8 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4d9645… |
| 11-02 12:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x3c1d…da77 | No | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1c8e35… |
| 11-02 12:00:07 | Weary-Antechamber 0x830f…cda7 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 99¢ | $76 | 0x4d9645… |
| 11-02 12:00:07 | Inferior-Grain 0x2f63…6643 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1c8e35… |
| 11-02 12:00:07 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x12100b… |
| 11-02 12:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x11b7…4b0f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x12100b… |
| 11-02 12:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x4ea3…b7f3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc015e7… |
| 11-02 12:00:07 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 69 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x4d9645… |
| 11-02 12:00:07 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc015e7… |
| 11-01 16:35:40 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 50 | 21¢ | $10 | 0x921daf… |
| 11-01 16:35:40 | LIBAI 0x124e…a8a9 | Yes | BUY | 102 | 79¢ | $81 | 0x921daf… |
| 11-01 16:35:40 | (anonymous) 0xe2a3…8e01 | No | BUY | 52 | 21¢ | $11 | 0x921daf… |
| 11-01 14:28:07 | (anonymous) 0xbba8…beb9 | No | BUY | 32 | 26¢ | $8 | 0x5f16ee… |
| 11-01 14:28:07 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x5f16ee… |
| 11-01 14:28:07 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 82 | 74¢ | $61 | 0x5f16ee… |
| 11-01 13:42:57 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0x9cdb8d… |
| 11-01 13:42:57 | (anonymous) 0x30fb…7db4 | No | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x9cdb8d… |
| 10-30 17:49:22 | Careful-Toughguy 0x3b79…6f9d | Yes | SELL | 24 | 69¢ | $17 | 0xb83ced… |
| 10-30 17:49:22 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 69¢ | $14 | 0xb83ced… |
| 10-30 17:49:22 | LIBAI 0x124e…a8a9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 68¢ | $3 | 0xb83ced… |
| 10-30 16:07:24 | Careful-Toughguy 0x3b79…6f9d | Yes | BUY | 16 | 55¢ | $9 | 0x492f47… |
| 10-30 16:07:24 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | BUY | 16 | 45¢ | $7 | 0x492f47… |
| 10-30 14:20:54 | Careful-Toughguy 0x3b79…6f9d | Yes | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xfae46d… |
| 10-30 14:20:54 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | BUY | 15 | 50¢ | $8 | 0xfae46d… |
| 10-30 14:13:16 | Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 73¢ | $36 | 0x25420c… |
| 10-30 14:13:16 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | BUY | 50 | 27¢ | $14 | 0x25420c… |
| 10-30 14:08:30 | Glamorous-Gran 0x2773…045c | Yes | BUY | 50 | 74¢ | $37 | 0x485d49… |
| 10-30 14:08:30 | Cool-Pattypan 0x4b8a…f4a4 | No | BUY | 50 | 26¢ | $13 | 0x485d49… |
| 10-29 23:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x840060… |
| 10-29 23:43:30 | (anonymous) 0x4ac7…7b76 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x840060… |
| 10-29 23:43:30 | (anonymous) 0xc7d5…6b08 | No | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x840060… |