Will Panama reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
open
Total volume
$313
Trades
36
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$259
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-07-20
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-17 04:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 2% YES on $307)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $167 | $167 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $134 | $132 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $135 | $134 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $164 | $164 |
| unranked | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | +168 | $164 | $164 | 2 | 06-06 09:14 |
| Average-Isogloss 0xe23a…8518 | No | +134 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 06-10 07:34 |
| Silver-Boxspring 0x3d70…2471 | Yes | +122 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-11 17:10 |
| Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | +78 | $0 | $0 | 4 | 06-17 04:24 |
| Arctic-Vanadyl 0xc33d…0d40 | Yes | +61 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-05 21:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +44 | $0 | $0 | 9 | 06-17 04:24 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +22 | $-0 | $1 | 2 | 06-11 17:10 |
| Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 13:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 04:24:14 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7d88f2… |
| 06-17 04:24:14 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x7d88f2… |
| 06-17 04:24:02 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3afa40… |
| 06-17 04:24:02 | Subdued-Ascot 0x0637…1e31 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x3afa40… |
| 06-15 13:52:52 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd3e4d… |
| 06-15 13:52:52 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 22 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcd3e4d… |
| 06-15 13:48:22 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x78093b… |
| 06-15 13:48:22 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x78093b… |
| 06-15 13:47:22 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73d8ff… |
| 06-15 13:47:22 | Untimely-Macrofauna 0x403d…b04d | Yes | BUY | 27 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x73d8ff… |
| 06-11 17:10:45 | Silver-Boxspring 0x3d70…2471 | Yes | BUY | 122 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8caf5e… |
| 06-11 17:10:45 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8caf5e… |
| 06-11 17:10:45 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | SELL | 27 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8caf5e… |
| 06-11 17:10:45 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | SELL | 78 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8caf5e… |
| 06-10 07:34:33 | Average-Isogloss 0xe23a…8518 | No | BUY | 134 | 100¢ | $134 | 0x3fc5f5… |
| 06-10 07:34:33 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 85 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fc5f5… |
| 06-10 07:34:33 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3fc5f5… |
| 06-08 00:58:39 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xc6098f… |
| 06-08 00:58:39 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc6098f… |
| 06-07 09:15:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7887bd… |
| 06-07 09:15:31 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x7887bd… |
| 06-07 08:42:31 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x07c1a7… |
| 06-07 08:42:31 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x07c1a7… |
| 06-07 08:39:45 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f4bc1… |
| 06-07 08:39:45 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x7f4bc1… |
| 06-06 09:31:48 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0df157… |
| 06-06 09:31:48 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0df157… |
| 06-06 09:31:48 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0df157… |
| 06-06 09:31:48 | Joint-Chasuble 0xff2a…bc19 | Yes | SELL | 129 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0df157… |
| 06-06 09:14:30 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 129 | 98¢ | $126 | 0x0f0a1d… |
| 06-06 09:14:30 | Joint-Chasuble 0xff2a…bc19 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x0f0a1d… |
| 06-05 21:59:27 | Decisive-Deliberation 0xadfb…c2ef | No | BUY | 39 | 98¢ | $38 | 0xf278f2… |
| 06-05 21:59:27 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf278f2… |
| 06-05 21:59:27 | Arctic-Vanadyl 0xc33d…0d40 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf278f2… |
| 06-01 13:15:04 | Putrid-Penny-Shine 0xe60a…a633 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x55c2c1… |
| 06-01 13:15:04 | Posh-Exposure 0x4215…f03a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x55c2c1… |