Will Mark Leonard advance from the CA-45 primary election?
open
Total volume
$724
Trades
50
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$7,201
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-06-02
First seen
2026-05-31
last 06-10 03:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 8 | $4 | $656 | $652 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $0 | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $2 | $44 | $42 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 7 | $0 | $6 | $6 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $10 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 17 | $2 | $690 | $687 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +503 | $3 | $6 | 7 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | +497 | $496 | $496 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xe4bf…f385 | No | +163 | $160 | $160 | 1 | 06-01 16:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | +25 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | +19 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Illiterate-Survivor 0xd0ec…51e4 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 06-01 18:02 |
| Real-Standardization 0xb110…af95 | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 06-01 18:02 |
| Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-01 22:56 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | +7 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Utilized-Fire 0xe8bb…6fee | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-01 16:52 |
| Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-10 03:59 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-01 22:56 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-03 03:14 |
| Formal-Lacquerware 0xc22c…6d89 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-01 22:36 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Educated-Jockey 0xce5b…047a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x5a84…c2b7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0xdd57…694d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x1846…a932 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x1c16…45e9 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0xa1aa…f2b6 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x374b…2a3f | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Adored-Dentist 0x9a2f…1f59 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Peaceful-Noun 0xd281…d750 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0x395c…ee8d | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Intelligent-Fedelini 0xea8e…3de0 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | (anonymous) 0xa652…6f8f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Excitable-Saviour 0x241f…ef50 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Stormy-Trolley 0x7ba5…4252 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 345 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:59:19 | Obvious-Erosion 0x8be1…5731 | No | BUY | 497 | 100¢ | $496 | 0xb0f632… |
| 06-10 03:27:42 | (anonymous) 0xf450…9e45 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c1f4c… |
| 06-10 03:27:42 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c1f4c… |
| 06-10 03:27:42 | (anonymous) 0xd2b8…7223 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c1f4c… |
| 06-10 03:27:42 | Lucky-Pear 0x843c…4863 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c1f4c… |
| 06-10 03:27:42 | Memorable-Pool 0xa69f…f921 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c1f4c… |
| 06-10 03:27:42 | (anonymous) 0x9895…3870 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5c1f4c… |
| 06-09 00:56:25 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc2e1e1… |
| 06-09 00:56:25 | Intelligent-Pasta 0x4c1d…aa8a | Yes | SELL | 51 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc2e1e1… |
| 06-03 03:14:33 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x04bc34… |
| 06-03 03:14:33 | Intelligent-Pasta 0x4c1d…aa8a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x04bc34… |
| 06-01 22:56:48 | Cuddly-Auction 0x3e28…4983 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x8ecdf5… |
| 06-01 22:56:48 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ecdf5… |
| 06-01 22:56:48 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8ecdf5… |
| 06-01 22:36:40 | Formal-Lacquerware 0xc22c…6d89 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xabb5ba… |
| 06-01 22:36:40 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xabb5ba… |
| 06-01 18:02:32 | Real-Standardization 0xb110…af95 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x3810e6… |
| 06-01 18:02:32 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 19 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb7363d… |
| 06-01 18:02:32 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3810e6… |
| 06-01 18:02:32 | Illiterate-Survivor 0xd0ec…51e4 | No | BUY | 19 | 98¢ | $19 | 0xb7363d… |
| 06-01 16:52:53 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x46256a… |
| 06-01 16:52:53 | Utilized-Fire 0xe8bb…6fee | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x46256a… |
| 06-01 16:25:58 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 163 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x77fd77… |
| 06-01 16:25:58 | (anonymous) 0xe4bf…f385 | No | BUY | 163 | 98¢ | $160 | 0x77fd77… |
| 05-31 10:19:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 46 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x556d6b… |
| 05-31 10:19:17 | Intelligent-Pasta 0x4c1d…aa8a | Yes | BUY | 46 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x556d6b… |
| 05-31 10:02:38 | Intelligent-Pasta 0x4c1d…aa8a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd7c662… |
| 05-31 10:02:38 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd7c662… |
| 05-31 04:52:25 | Quarterly-Humidity 0xd6fa…4f2d | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xa50400… |
| 05-31 04:52:25 | Those-Skywalk 0x5529…e5b9 | No | SELL | 8 | 98¢ | $8 | 0xa50400… |