Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$356
$844 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$1,943
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 00:31
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-6.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $43
vs crowd: 7% YES on $183)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $91 | $91 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $13 | $80 | $67 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $43 | $43 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $37 | $37 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1 | $29 | $29 |
| Median | 8 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Below median | 6 | $5 | $5 | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $38 | $38 |
| unranked | 3 | $3 | $5 | $2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +46 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 05-09 00:20 |
| New-Secret 0x39ca…ce0a | Yes | +44 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 05:32 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +40 | $38 | $38 | 4 | 05-09 00:31 |
| Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | +36 | $34 | $34 | 4 | 05-08 03:30 |
| Watery-Course 0x8d17…30ae | Yes | +22 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 07:40 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +21 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 04:29 |
| Vast-Insect 0xf136…f66a | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 16:07 |
| Offbeat-Rap 0xf459…01ed | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 13:29 |
| (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 03:21 |
| Green-Show 0x362e…d65f | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 01:07 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 01:32 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 00:01 |
| Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 22:21 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 14:51 |
| Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 05:03 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 15:52 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 14:56 |
| Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 03:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 03:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 03:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 00:31:23 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x67b7f5… |
| 05-09 00:20:04 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 94¢ | $28 | 0xbf0086… |
| 05-09 00:01:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xb4f8a0… |
| 05-08 22:26:24 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x3c218b… |
| 05-08 22:26:22 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xfdd997… |
| 05-08 22:26:22 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x274e7d… |
| 05-08 22:21:35 | Vast-Study 0x8bca…0500 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9cd9e8… |
| 05-08 19:10:08 | (anonymous) 0xf7f6…712f | Yes | SELL | 14 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xa36857… |
| 05-08 17:37:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x0368b8… |
| 05-08 16:07:25 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x92e161… |
| 05-08 16:07:25 | Vast-Insect 0xf136…f66a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xdc593b… |
| 05-08 15:52:23 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 4 | 92¢ | $4 | 0x1f6aa7… |
| 05-08 15:05:07 | Fancy-Outset 0x6a32…cab6 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe0879c… |
| 05-08 13:29:52 | Offbeat-Rap 0xf459…01ed | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xe758ee… |
| 05-08 10:13:59 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | SELL | 5 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x04b6fd… |
| 05-08 10:12:36 | Stupendous-Provision 0x3a87…a26d | Yes | SELL | 17 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x5b4d6b… |
| 05-08 10:11:32 | Stupendous-Provision 0x3a87…a26d | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x8025a2… |
| 05-08 08:50:48 | Delirious-Bonsai 0x91c0…d4da | No | SELL | 116 | 91¢ | $106 | 0xbecb6d… |
| 05-08 07:40:16 | Watery-Course 0x8d17…30ae | Yes | BUY | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x3eeee3… |
| 05-08 05:32:12 | New-Secret 0x39ca…ce0a | Yes | BUY | 44 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x87a9e1… |
| 05-08 04:29:07 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 21 | 95¢ | $20 | 0x876a1f… |
| 05-08 04:29:07 | Upbeat-Politician 0xa054…a95d | No | SELL | 64 | 92¢ | $59 | 0x7268c4… |
| 05-08 03:30:50 | (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xa3a86b… |
| 05-08 03:30:48 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x25e2f5… |
| 05-08 03:30:47 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xd477ee… |
| 05-08 03:30:47 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x035751… |
| 05-08 03:21:00 | (anonymous) 0xa5ec…26ee | Yes | BUY | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x78604e… |
| 05-08 03:20:48 | (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x605601… |
| 05-08 03:20:41 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x7d46b9… |
| 05-08 03:20:39 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x4d8b77… |
| 05-08 03:20:36 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x12df29… |
| 05-08 03:20:31 | Radiant-Swimming 0xa6d4…2f1e | No | BUY | 3 | 94¢ | $2 | 0xde03d1… |
| 05-08 03:20:20 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xf6a2f6… |
| 05-08 01:32:34 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x83851c… |
| 05-08 01:07:25 | Green-Show 0x362e…d65f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x9c8ff4… |
| 05-07 15:07:07 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 16 | 94¢ | $15 | 0x38939d… |
| 05-07 14:56:11 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x34a675… |
| 05-07 14:51:11 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x73a991… |
| 05-07 05:13:15 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0x83e89e… |
| 05-07 05:03:55 | Chief-Flute 0x9a2f…a13c | No | BUY | 12 | 95¢ | $11 | 0xb23233… |
| 05-07 05:03:45 | Tame-Scalp 0x3164…3c65 | No | BUY | 4 | 88¢ | $4 | 0xf190f6… |