Will Donald Trump dance on May 19, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,658
Trades
76
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$1,162
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-31
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-20 11:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+6.3¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $67
vs crowd: 94% YES on $1.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $1.3K | $24 | +$1.3K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $23 | — | +$23 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $138 | $37 | +$100 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $42 | $39 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $67 | — | +$67 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $20 | $2 | +$18 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $1.3K | $0 | +$1.3K |
| Median | 3 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| Below median | 7 | $2 | $19 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $29 | $29 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $28 | $24 | +$4 |
| unranked | 3 | $20 | $26 | $6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Vivo 0x4d0e…c45b | Yes | +1,205 | $1,198 | $1,198 | 3 | 05-20 11:41 |
| Legal-Gauge 0x00ee…1128 | No | +1,000 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-20 11:41 |
| Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | +172 | $6 | $6 | 9 | 05-20 03:46 |
| Upset-Sophomore 0x79bf…bcdf | Yes | +107 | $100 | $100 | 4 | 05-20 03:45 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | +57 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 05-20 04:07 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 8 | 05-20 05:11 |
| Bad-Calorie 0xa2cb…6dc4 | Yes | +32 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 05-20 00:31 |
| Silver-Likeness 0x9dda…e1b4 | No | +32 | $11 | $11 | 3 | 05-20 04:51 |
| Witty-Conviction 0x134a…9e42 | Yes | +29 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-20 00:19 |
| Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | +27 | $-4 | $5 | 5 | 05-20 08:21 |
| All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | +25 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 05-19 10:57 |
| Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | +21 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-19 23:54 |
| Silver-Likeness 0x9dda…e1b4 | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 3 | 05-20 05:11 |
| Flat-Waterskiing 0xb0de…c36f | Yes | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-20 04:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-20 03:45 |
| Greedy-Explorer 0xef27…600f | Yes | +18 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-20 04:09 |
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-20 03:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | +13 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-20 03:46 |
| Mountainous-Cytoplasm 0x3516…366a | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-19 09:19 |
| Silver-Mainland 0xf0aa…96f5 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-20 00:11 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-20 05:41 |
| Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | Yes | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-20 05:41 |
| Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-20 00:59 |
| Testy-Beam 0xcc3e…37ef | Yes | +8 | $-7 | $14 | 3 | 05-20 00:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x9d77…b47a | Yes | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-20 04:27 |
| Sociable-Pendulum 0xdec2…b015 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-19 19:53 |
| Big-Hearted-Directory 0xdd49…4591 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-20 03:46 |
| Oily-Stool 0xcb8c…a26f | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-20 04:27 |
| Yawning-Robin 0x9b18…a41e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 10:02 |
| Stingy-Salt 0xb1df…9264 | Yes | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-20 04:27 |
| Assured-Rowing 0xe4b9…4d3a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-20 00:31 |
| Tattered-Voting 0xfb85…15f4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-18 05:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 11:41:15 | Broken-Vivo 0x4d0e…c45b | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $997 | 0x1e38e8… |
| 05-20 11:41:15 | Legal-Gauge 0x00ee…1128 | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $3 | 0x1e38e8… |
| 05-20 08:21:33 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | SELL | 46 | 92¢ | $43 | 0x754f78… |
| 05-20 08:21:33 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | SELL | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x754f78… |
| 05-20 08:21:33 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | No | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x754f78… |
| 05-20 05:41:22 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x918339… |
| 05-20 05:41:22 | Key-Sovereignty 0xf0d5…c665 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x918339… |
| 05-20 05:11:06 | Silver-Likeness 0x9dda…e1b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xbb9317… |
| 05-20 05:11:06 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb9317… |
| 05-20 05:11:06 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 9 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xbb9317… |
| 05-20 05:10:03 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d2da5… |
| 05-20 05:10:03 | Silver-Likeness 0x9dda…e1b4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x4d2da5… |
| 05-20 05:09:01 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xcaace7… |
| 05-20 05:09:01 | Silver-Likeness 0x9dda…e1b4 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xcaace7… |
| 05-20 04:52:20 | Boiling-Institute 0x3f4b…f574 | No | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7b53b2… |
| 05-20 04:52:20 | Flat-Waterskiing 0xb0de…c36f | Yes | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x7b53b2… |
| 05-20 04:51:16 | Silver-Likeness 0x9dda…e1b4 | No | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe275ff… |
| 05-20 04:51:16 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | SELL | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe275ff… |
| 05-20 04:27:33 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x154f4d… |
| 05-20 04:27:33 | (anonymous) 0x9d77…b47a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xab867a… |
| 05-20 04:27:33 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc24a0f… |
| 05-20 04:27:33 | Stingy-Salt 0xb1df…9264 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xc24a0f… |
| 05-20 04:27:33 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5fca53… |
| 05-20 04:27:33 | Oily-Stool 0xcb8c…a26f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x5fca53… |
| 05-20 04:27:33 | Broken-Vivo 0x4d0e…c45b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x154f4d… |
| 05-20 04:27:33 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xab867a… |
| 05-20 04:09:52 | Greedy-Explorer 0xef27…600f | Yes | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0x48e4ad… |
| 05-20 04:09:52 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | No | BUY | 18 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x48e4ad… |
| 05-20 04:07:38 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | BUY | 57 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3b757d… |
| 05-20 04:07:38 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0x3b757d… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x9d77…b47a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xbe5298… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe9204a… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | (anonymous) 0x945a…a48c | No | BUY | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x80a184… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | Stingy-Salt 0xb1df…9264 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x901680… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | BUY | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x80a184… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | Broken-Vivo 0x4d0e…c45b | Yes | BUY | 203 | 98¢ | $199 | 0x80a184… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x80a184… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbe5298… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x901680… |
| 05-20 03:46:52 | Big-Hearted-Directory 0xdd49…4591 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe9204a… |
| 05-20 03:45:57 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | No | BUY | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa8cb12… |
| 05-20 03:45:57 | Upset-Sophomore 0x79bf…bcdf | Yes | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xa8cb12… |
| 05-20 03:45:57 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa8cb12… |
| 05-20 03:45:50 | Upset-Sophomore 0x79bf…bcdf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xb36f42… |
| 05-20 03:45:50 | (anonymous) 0xbe0e…d429 | No | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xb36f42… |
| 05-20 03:45:42 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x07313c… |
| 05-20 03:45:42 | Upset-Sophomore 0x79bf…bcdf | Yes | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x07313c… |
| 05-20 03:45:33 | Upset-Sophomore 0x79bf…bcdf | Yes | BUY | 29 | 90¢ | $27 | 0xc2c5f5… |
| 05-20 03:45:33 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | No | BUY | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0xc2c5f5… |
| 05-20 03:45:33 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xc2c5f5… |
| 05-20 00:59:37 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 8 | 87¢ | $7 | 0xca30b1… |
| 05-20 00:59:37 | Testy-Beam 0xcc3e…37ef | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xca30b1… |
| 05-20 00:31:39 | Bad-Calorie 0xa2cb…6dc4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x63b3d3… |
| 05-20 00:31:39 | Assured-Rowing 0xe4b9…4d3a | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x63b3d3… |
| 05-20 00:20:23 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc2ff69… |
| 05-20 00:20:23 | Bad-Calorie 0xa2cb…6dc4 | Yes | BUY | 31 | 63¢ | $19 | 0xc2ff69… |
| 05-20 00:20:23 | Testy-Beam 0xcc3e…37ef | Yes | SELL | 21 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xc2ff69… |
| 05-20 00:19:24 | Witty-Conviction 0x134a…9e42 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 83¢ | $24 | 0xa53d6e… |
| 05-20 00:19:24 | Misguided-Click 0x4b81…f9b6 | No | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xa53d6e… |
| 05-20 00:19:24 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xa53d6e… |
| 05-20 00:11:26 | Nifty-Rod 0xc2ca…04f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5d21ff… |
| 05-20 00:11:26 | Silver-Mainland 0xf0aa…96f5 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x5d21ff… |
| 05-19 23:54:49 | Testy-Beam 0xcc3e…37ef | Yes | BUY | 21 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xf41571… |
| 05-19 23:54:49 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 21 | 88¢ | $18 | 0xf41571… |
| 05-19 19:53:36 | Silver-Likeness 0x9dda…e1b4 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb22006… |
| 05-19 19:53:36 | Sociable-Pendulum 0xdec2…b015 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb22006… |
| 05-19 10:57:21 | All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x309944… |
| 05-19 10:57:21 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 25 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x309944… |
| 05-19 09:19:59 | Mountainous-Cytoplasm 0x3516…366a | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $12 | 0x47e87d… |
| 05-19 09:19:59 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x47e87d… |
| 05-19 07:07:20 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xeb4af9… |
| 05-19 07:07:20 | Silver-Likeness 0x9dda…e1b4 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xeb4af9… |
| 05-18 05:18:39 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 1 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xc44fc6… |
| 05-18 05:18:39 | Tattered-Voting 0xfb85…15f4 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc44fc6… |
| 05-15 10:02:37 | Yawning-Robin 0x9b18…a41e | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x2af4ce… |
| 05-15 10:02:37 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 3 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2af4ce… |