Droopy-Joint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$115

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$909

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-01 08:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

64% 100% +$144

Other

34% 0% $-29

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes		+256	$29	5¢	$12	$-17	06-01 08:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	10	$365	3,470	300	+3,170	open	—	02-01 05:29
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	5	$102	12,518	500	+12,018	open	—	03-31 09:19
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$100	841	0	+841	open	—	01-31 01:49
Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$100	108	108	+0	open	—	05-16 06:27
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$35	240	0	+240	open	—	05-16 13:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$30	5,000	5,000	+0	open	—	04-17 11:38
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	1	$29	94	0	+94	Yes	$-29	05-05 09:10
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	1	$29	256	0	+256	open	—	06-01 08:25
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$20	813	0	+813	open	—	03-01 21:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$20	74	0	+74	Yes	+$54	04-12 20:13
will romania qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	1	$20	164	0	+164	open	—	03-23 11:41
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	1	$20	487	0	+487	open	—	02-01 23:11
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$10	476	0	+476	open	—	03-08 10:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	100	0	+100	Yes	+$90	04-12 20:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	385	0	+385	open	—	04-12 20:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$5	714	0	+714	open	—	04-22 11:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$5	200	0	+200	open	—	04-19 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 08:25:58	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	BUY	256	11¢	$29	0xcf463c…
05-16 13:53:47	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	101	17¢	$17	0x24f082…
05-16 13:39:26	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	14¢	$13	0x80f9b6…
05-16 06:27:46	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	48¢	$51	0x9003c7…
05-15 09:31:42	Will Romania be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	45¢	$48	0x4578b7…
05-14 12:11:33	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0x185efc…
05-05 09:10:44	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	No	BUY	94	31¢	$29	0xda176d…
04-22 11:53:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$5	0x434086…
04-19 16:05:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x6ccaf4…
04-17 11:38:34	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	5,000	0¢	$25	0x432925…
04-16 04:17:12	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x535a86…
04-12 20:13:31	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb58915…
04-12 20:13:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0xae9485…
04-12 20:12:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0x763e51…
03-31 09:19:07	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xdebdf3…
03-30 23:30:35	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	1,516	1¢	$10	0x57d692…
03-23 11:41:43	will romania qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	164	12¢	$20	0xbe4acd…
03-17 10:56:23	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	SELL	500	10¢	$50	0xd39682…
03-14 11:32:53	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	469	3¢	$15	0xf2e5b1…
03-14 11:28:19	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	BUY	533	3¢	$17	0xa3bbfc…
03-08 10:51:37	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	476	2¢	$10	0x809644…
03-01 21:41:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	354	3¢	$10	0x4b1429…
03-01 12:33:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	Yes	BUY	460	2¢	$11	0x19f7d8…
02-01 23:11:02	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	487	4¢	$20	0x8ba7be…
02-01 05:29:16	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	SELL	300	40¢	$120	0x9051e7…
01-31 01:49:42	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	841	12¢	$100	0x1e6a50…
01-30 17:05:56	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	999	1¢	$10	0x643526…
01-29 20:25:12	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	472	2¢	$10	0x320879…
01-29 01:10:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x98c7a4…
01-26 00:50:22	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	441	3¢	$15	0x96b7c5…
01-16 09:19:38	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xaab4ca…
01-14 19:03:24	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0xd5356b…
01-10 02:07:54	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0xb5c585…
01-09 23:11:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	267	19¢	$51	0xd5495a…
01-09 11:43:32	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	146	20¢	$29	0x57e172…