Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
3
Trades
694
lifetime
Volume
$1.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$25
23 positions
First seen
2026-02-16
last 07-19 02:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
49%
Other
26% 0% $-0
Politics
16% 100% +$10
Sports
5% 0% $-2
Tech
4%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No +4 $2 82¢ $3 +$1 06-30 13:36
OKX IPO in 2026? Yes -23 $-2 10¢ $-2 $-0 06-23 22:14
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +3 $2 64¢ $2 +$0 07-15 00:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 80¢ $2 +$0 06-27 21:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -18 $-2 11¢ $-2 +$0 06-07 15:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 56¢ $2 $-0 07-15 10:04
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? No +3 $2 50¢ $2 +$0 06-27 02:18
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +2 $1 66¢ $2 +$0 07-05 22:55
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -18 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-11 18:29
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 07-19 02:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +2 $2 56¢ $1 $-1 06-29 21:58
New pandemic in 2026? Yes -18 $-2 $-1 +$0 06-10 22:17
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-30 16:31
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -22 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-01 19:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -10 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-07 15:42
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-28 06:06
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? Yes -24 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-30 13:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-21 21:07
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 59¢ $0 $-1 06-06 04:27
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +1 $1 14¢ $0 $-1 06-02 13:51
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +1 $0 12¢ $0 $-0 06-07 23:37
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 $0 $-0 06-04 00:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +0 $1 $0 $-1 06-11 02:41