Realized P&L (7d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
89.5%
Resolved (7d)
6
Trades (7d)
17
128 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$85
$540 lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$16
16 positions
First seen
2026-08-18
last 11-08 18:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Other
45% 70% +$0
Politics
33% 83% +$0
Crypto
20% 100% +$0
Pop-Culture
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? No +6 $6 98¢ $6 $0 11-01 11:44
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 $0 11-08 18:30
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 11-06 21:03
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 09-01 08:48
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-30 19:05
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-04 08:30
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 09-04 19:46
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 08-19 12:56
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$0 10-13 09:16
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 08-28 18:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 10-14 07:22
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-28 09:56
New pandemic in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 +$0 09-11 13:37
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 08-29 21:24
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-09 00:23
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-27 00:28