Realized P&L (30d)
-$71
Unrealized P&L
+$2.55K
Hit rate
6.9%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
622
2,863 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$29.9K
$133.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$93.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-10 00:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
47% 33% -$307
Other
36% 11% -$192
Sports
15% 64% +$1,060
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +17,367 $16,769 99¢ $17.2K +$399 09-20 07:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9,375 $8,930 94¢ $8.8K -$104 09-19 00:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +7,388 $7,138 99¢ $7.3K +$143 09-20 12:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6,306 $5,473 99¢ $6.2K +$741 07-07 07:44
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,074 $4,849 100¢ $5.1K +$220 09-20 17:26
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +5,049 $4,860 97¢ $4.9K +$35 11-07 16:06
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +4,481 $4,323 99¢ $4.4K +$105 11-06 20:14
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,693 $3,934 91¢ $4.3K +$339 10-30 06:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +4,072 $3,754 98¢ $4.0K +$235 09-10 04:27
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,580 $3,446 95¢ $3.4K -$29 11-07 14:50
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,761 $3,291 86¢ $3.3K -$38 09-15 22:56
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +2,958 $2,895 99¢ $2.9K +$43 11-06 18:53
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +3,199 $2,740 86¢ $2.7K +$10 11-06 02:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,064 $1,986 99¢ $2.0K +$54 08-04 16:53
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,863 $1,719 95¢ $1.8K +$48 09-02 22:13
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,797 $1,749 97¢ $1.7K -$6 11-09 08:58
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +1,715 $1,588 98¢ $1.7K +$89 08-05 18:29
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,571 $1,539 98¢ $1.5K +$3 11-09 15:21
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,482 $1,406 94¢ $1.4K -$6 11-08 18:07
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1,387 $1,336 98¢ $1.4K +$25 11-09 05:50
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,378 $1,264 92¢ $1.3K +$10 08-20 08:15
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,264 $1,166 98¢ $1.2K +$70 07-25 09:43
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,198 $1,169 97¢ $1.2K -$3 08-21 05:41
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,283 $1,122 87¢ $1.1K -$10 09-04 16:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +677 $630 98¢ $666 +$36 07-10 04:36
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,375 $471 6¢ $548 +$77 09-20 17:31
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,761 $469 14¢ $508 +$39 09-21 09:50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +500 $458 97¢ $483 +$25 10-21 21:02
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +460 $422 98¢ $451 +$28 09-21 09:38
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +3,199 $474 14¢ $450 -$24 11-07 10:10