Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.94K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
196
2,626 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$10.3K
$122.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$89.6K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 02:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Politics
44% 40% -$235
Other
38% 11% -$192
Sports
15% 64% +$1,060
Crypto
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
56 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +17,367 $16,769 98¢ $17.0K +$243 09-20 07:30
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9,375 $8,930 95¢ $8.9K -$19 09-19 00:16
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +7,388 $7,138 98¢ $7.2K +$76 09-20 12:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6,306 $5,473 98¢ $6.2K +$726 07-07 07:44
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,074 $4,849 100¢ $5.1K +$207 09-20 17:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +4,693 $3,934 84¢ $4.0K +$31 10-30 06:27
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +4,072 $3,754 97¢ $4.0K +$204 09-10 04:27
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +3,848 $3,351 94¢ $3.6K +$285 08-20 15:28
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,761 $3,291 88¢ $3.3K +$18 09-15 22:56
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +3,090 $2,980 95¢ $2.9K -$30 10-27 14:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +2,672 $2,563 96¢ $2.6K +$1 11-01 20:56
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +2,583 $2,469 97¢ $2.5K +$39 11-01 11:16
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +2,691 $2,305 86¢ $2.3K +$6 10-31 10:35
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +3,695 $2,408 56¢ $2.1K -$330 08-14 16:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,064 $1,986 98¢ $2.0K +$40 08-04 16:53
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,927 $1,883 97¢ $1.9K -$5 11-01 09:10
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +1,863 $1,719 94¢ $1.8K +$40 09-02 22:13
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? No +1,715 $1,588 98¢ $1.7K +$85 08-05 18:29
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +3,695 $1,348 44¢ $1.6K +$268 08-14 03:31
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,378 $1,264 90¢ $1.2K -$31 08-20 08:15
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1,264 $1,166 97¢ $1.2K +$57 07-25 09:43
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,198 $1,169 97¢ $1.2K -$3 08-21 05:41
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,283 $1,122 88¢ $1.1K +$14 09-04 16:43
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +773 $731 95¢ $734 +$3 09-21 01:21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,693 $768 16¢ $727 -$40 10-30 11:39
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +684 $652 96¢ $657 +$5 11-01 17:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +677 $630 97¢ $654 +$24 07-10 04:36
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +517 $496 100¢ $514 +$18 08-28 18:28
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? No +500 $458 94¢ $467 +$10 10-21 21:02
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +9,375 $471 5¢ $464 -$7 09-20 17:31