Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
150
lifetime
Volume
$1.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$115
20 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-01 16:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
63%
Other
35% 100% +$14
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
23 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +15 $10 100¢ $15 +$5 06-16 17:35
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $13 86¢ $13 +$0 06-22 16:12
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 07-01 16:29
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 07-01 16:29
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 $-0 07-01 16:30
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-05 12:54
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-13 14:23
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 05-29 17:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 +$0 07-01 16:34
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-01 16:45
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 76¢ $5 +$0 07-01 16:43
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No +5 $2 99¢ $5 +$2 06-05 13:09
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 $-0 07-01 16:56
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +5 $2 97¢ $4 +$2 06-28 11:59
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 06-14 08:47
Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +3 $2 80¢ $2 +$0 06-25 08:27
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 06-25 08:29
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +3 $2 65¢ $2 $-0 06-25 08:28
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? No +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 07-01 16:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-22 16:39