Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
176
lifetime
Volume
$1.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$125
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-13 02:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
60%
Other
37% 100% +$14
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $13 70¢ $11 $-2 06-22 16:12
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 07-01 16:30
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 94¢ $10 +$0 07-01 16:29
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 +$0 07-01 16:29
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +8 $7 90¢ $7 $-0 07-08 08:57
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? No +7 $5 91¢ $6 +$1 07-01 16:56
Diddy released from custody in 2026? No +8 $7 77¢ $6 $-1 07-08 08:57
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 06-05 12:54
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 07-02 11:41
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 05-29 17:14
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 07-01 16:34
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-13 14:23
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 07-01 16:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 07-01 16:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 07-04 02:35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 $-0 07-13 02:50
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? No +6 $5 74¢ $5 $-0 07-08 08:57
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +6 $5 76¢ $4 $-1 07-02 16:54
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +3 $3 84¢ $3 $-0 07-13 02:56
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 07-08 08:56
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 $-0 06-25 08:28
Kylie Jenner confirmed pregnant in 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 07-01 16:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-22 16:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 $-0 07-12 04:33