Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
85
lifetime
Volume
$933
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$54
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 06-11 03:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69%
Other
30% 100% +$14
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +9 $5 80¢ $7 +$2 05-29 17:11
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 05-29 17:11
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-05 12:54
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-05 13:05
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-07 10:03
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 06-05 13:03
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 87¢ $5 $-0 05-29 17:14
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 06-06 12:19
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 +$0 06-07 10:05
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +7 $5 56¢ $4 $-1 06-07 09:21
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30? No +5 $2 73¢ $3 +$1 06-05 13:09
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? No +130 $1 $1 $-0 06-05 09:16