Realized P&L
-$116
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
63.5%
Resolved
157
Trades
227
lifetime
Volume
$1.59K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$182
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 07-13 02:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 69 days
Categories
Politics
60% 71% -$120
Other
35% 75% +$8
Tech
2% 40% -$4
Sports
1% 80% +$1
Pop-Culture
1% 50% -$1
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-13).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -185 -$14 12¢ $-23 -$9 07-13 02:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +19 $15 86¢ $17 +$2 06-22 16:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +15 $13 82¢ $13 $0 06-22 16:12
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 07-01 16:29
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 96¢ $10 +$0 07-01 16:29
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +11 $10 95¢ $10 +$0 07-01 16:30
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -103 -$16 9¢ $-9 +$7 06-15 06:21
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +8 $7 95¢ $7 +$0 07-08 08:57
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +11 $7 59¢ $6 -$1 06-25 08:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 07-13 02:50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +6 $5 97¢ $6 +$1 05-09 14:46
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 07-01 16:34
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 No +6 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 07-07 16:44
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-09 14:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 07-04 02:35
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 05-29 17:14
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-09 13:24
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-13 14:23
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 80¢ $5 +$0 07-01 16:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 07-01 16:45
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 05-09 15:05
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 06-13 03:06
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +3 $3 92¢ $3 +$0 07-13 02:56
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 07-08 08:56
Trump out as President before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-22 16:39
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +12 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 06-12 10:21