Alive-Chart — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

Trades

3,421

lifetime

Volume

$192.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 07-01 04:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Other

71% 91% +$110

Politics

18% — —

Crypto

6% 50% +$1

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 fcb	102	$20.6K	25,640	16,746	+8,895	open	—	02-12 20:00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	15	$12.4K	6,401	6,401	+0	open	—	02-26 13:00
epl tot ars 2026 02 22 ars	47	$7.1K	7,086	7,086	+0	open	—	02-22 16:33
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 draw	52	$5.2K	3,428	3,428	+0	open	—	02-12 19:53
ucl qar1 new 2026 02 18 new	36	$5.0K	5,527	5,236	+292	open	—	02-18 17:44
cdr atm fcb 2026 02 12 atm	33	$4.8K	4,380	4,380	+0	open	—	02-12 19:32
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	138	$4.3K	436,348	436,348	+0	open	—	02-10 21:09
bun wer bay 2026 02 14 bay	75	$4.2K	5,303	5,303	+0	open	—	02-14 13:10
epl bre ars 2026 02 12 ars	9	$3.8K	3,778	3,778	+0	open	—	02-12 19:17
epl sun liv 2026 02 11 liv	17	$3.8K	3,774	3,774	-0	open	—	02-11 20:16
bun dor mai 2026 02 13 dor	29	$3.7K	3,671	3,671	+0	open	—	02-13 19:33
ucl bvb1 ata1 2026 02 17 bvb1	25	$3.1K	3,755	2,338	+1,417	open	—	02-17 20:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	26	$2.9K	1,694	2,095	-401	open	—	02-26 13:00
bun b04 pau 2026 02 14 b04	44	$2.9K	2,255	3,293	-1,038	open	—	02-14 00:31
lal get sev 2026 02 22 get	11	$2.8K	2,833	2,833	+0	open	—	02-22 13:08
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$2.7K	1,389	1,389	+0	open	—	02-26 13:00
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	27	$2.7K	2,750	2,737	+13	open	—	02-16 22:32
lol fox1 dnf 2026 02 12	67	$2.5K	3,237	3,366	-128	open	—	02-12 12:12
uel lil crv1 2026 02 19 lil	17	$2.4K	2,505	2,505	+0	open	—	02-19 20:00
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	85	$2.4K	289,904	289,904	+0	open	—	02-10 08:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	14	$2.3K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	06-02 10:37
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	20	$2.2K	1,593	651	+942	open	—	02-24 19:49
lal mad esp 2026 02 21 mad	13	$2.2K	2,788	1,843	+944	open	—	02-21 19:54
sea pis mil 2026 02 13 mil	8	$2.2K	2,937	2,937	+0	open	—	02-13 19:50
cbb uconn butl 2026 02 11 total 144pt5	12	$1.9K	1,889	1,889	-0	open	—	02-12 00:16
ucl atm1 bru 2026 02 24 atm1	13	$1.9K	2,478	2,478	+0	open	—	02-24 17:58
cs2 bb3 sin2 2026 02 11	2	$1.7K	1,889	1,889	+0	open	—	02-11 15:03
ucl bog1 int2 2026 02 18 int2	32	$1.7K	1,631	1,631	+0	open	—	02-18 19:02
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	33	$1.4K	1,865	1,865	+0	open	—	02-25 21:54
nba was cle 2026 02 11	7	$1.4K	708	708	+0	open	—	02-12 02:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 04:08:28	Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfd8165…
06-27 03:30:04	Will T1 make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb91385…
06-22 23:58:05	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x982039…
06-04 21:50:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0xd96e84…
06-04 21:50:33	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x9b4907…
06-04 21:50:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x338356…
06-04 21:50:31	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xaabc98…
06-04 21:50:30	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0x06c90c…
06-04 21:50:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0x05e936…
06-04 21:50:28	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0xdbd902…
06-04 21:50:28	Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x6a8c80…
06-04 21:50:28	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x43afc9…
06-04 21:50:27	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	50¢	$9	0xdb45fa…
06-04 21:50:27	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0xbb4be4…
06-04 21:50:27	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	16	71¢	$11	0xb3bf83…
06-04 21:50:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0xa4b318…
06-04 21:50:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x21beaf…
06-04 21:50:25	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	23	92¢	$21	0x5e44fb…
06-04 21:50:25	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	87¢	$19	0x024dda…
06-04 21:50:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$22	0xcfe314…
06-04 21:50:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	80¢	$18	0x5a5faf…
06-04 21:50:22	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	78¢	$19	0xc64473…
06-04 21:50:21	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	SELL	30	58¢	$17	0xec1392…
06-04 21:50:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	91¢	$29	0xbb24cd…
06-04 21:50:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	38	85¢	$32	0x8a3e9a…
06-04 21:50:19	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x62d468…
06-04 21:50:18	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	114	89¢	$102	0x619567…
06-04 21:50:18	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	233	90¢	$210	0x2fce3d…
06-04 07:07:00	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	150	83¢	$125	0x0abdea…
06-04 06:15:19	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	25	83¢	$21	0x6ceb80…
06-04 05:52:18	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0xacb37d…
06-04 05:31:18	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xf37126…
06-04 04:16:54	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x3ad11b…
06-04 04:15:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x09ac98…
06-04 04:14:54	Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x52189b…
06-04 04:14:34	Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x80b8f0…
06-04 03:56:54	Will T1 make a roster change before July?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1fc3a2…
06-04 03:55:54	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by december 31 646	Yes	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0xb68b9b…
06-04 03:55:54	jung chung rae out as dp leader in 2026	Yes	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xa356c7…
06-04 03:55:15	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x1fd0f7…
06-04 03:54:54	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	83	86¢	$72	0x30d649…
06-04 03:54:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x6ec06c…
06-04 03:54:24	Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	55¢	$6	0x925cd6…
06-04 03:54:24	Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x14bd6d…
06-04 03:50:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328	Yes	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0x927f25…
06-04 03:50:54	will anthropics valuation hit low 600b by december 31 732	No	SELL	14	90¢	$13	0x783195…
06-04 03:50:16	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	66¢	$9	0xe4d2ef…
06-04 03:50:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x7fdb53…
06-04 03:49:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$21	0x115287…
06-04 03:49:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	93¢	$18	0x2a8145…
06-04 03:48:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xae06b7…
06-04 03:47:54	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	79	83¢	$65	0x60bed5…
06-04 03:47:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x960818…
06-04 03:47:21	Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0xc5f040…
06-04 03:47:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	37	84¢	$31	0x4eb077…
06-04 03:45:34	Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0x6c2c01…
06-04 03:45:33	Major CEX insolvent in 2026?	No	SELL	22	91¢	$20	0x93a6c8…
06-04 03:45:01	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	91¢	$114	0xb49ebd…
06-04 03:45:00	Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	89¢	$19	0xc2e5ef…
06-04 03:45:00	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x6875f1…
06-04 03:44:58	Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	24	79¢	$19	0xd659da…
06-04 03:44:58	Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x05a754…
06-04 03:44:57	Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x95ef73…
06-04 03:43:15	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	52	86¢	$45	0x04549f…
06-04 03:42:39	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	125	91¢	$114	0xac618b…
06-04 03:41:13	Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	293	87¢	$254	0xd0b011…
06-03 13:18:52	Jung Chung-rae out as DP leader by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x8da54f…
06-02 10:37:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	507	1¢	$5	0x577012…
06-02 01:33:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$204	0x9b9d67…
06-01 20:30:54	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xbe201b…
06-01 20:30:52	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbb461c…
06-01 20:30:14	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0x954508…
06-01 20:05:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	45¢	$15	0x635c59…
06-01 20:05:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	19¢	$15	0xfa41d5…
06-01 20:05:28	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	60¢	$38	0x19ed91…
06-01 20:05:26	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0x473e30…
06-01 20:05:25	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x7bfb5c…
06-01 20:05:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	32¢	$79	0x17eadf…
06-01 20:05:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	303	33¢	$100	0xc57c68…
06-01 20:05:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	0¢	$1	0xe03597…
06-01 19:55:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xb54d2f…
06-01 19:53:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xcc6502…
06-01 19:53:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x253d0d…
06-01 19:53:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x0244e0…
06-01 19:53:22	Starmer out by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	61¢	$39	0xbbc2ec…
06-01 19:53:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x4d9129…
06-01 19:53:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xfff910…
06-01 19:53:20	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x22ac3d…
06-01 19:53:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	20¢	$16	0xcd6a01…
06-01 19:53:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	33¢	$46	0x760b58…
06-01 19:53:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x1ce2f5…
06-01 19:53:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xd2f679…
06-01 19:53:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	273	34¢	$93	0xabb833…
06-01 14:58:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	46¢	$47	0x9b1d4c…
06-01 14:58:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	46¢	$47	0xa5699c…
06-01 14:57:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	767	49¢	$377	0x59373d…
06-01 14:55:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	754	52¢	$392	0x935769…
06-01 14:45:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	66¢	$333	0xf56095…
06-01 14:26:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	507	64¢	$324	0xfbb6d7…
06-01 14:20:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	304	66¢	$200	0xf80c02…