Realized P&L (7d)
-$32
Unrealized P&L
+$96
Hit rate
16.3%
Resolved (7d)
2
Trades (7d)
2
2,465 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$32
$41.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$1.37K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-02 04:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 143 days
Categories
Politics
53% 62% -$42
Other
29% 53% -$1,489
Sports
15% 52% +$327
Crypto
2% 25% -$778
Tech
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -777 -$726 98¢ $-765 -$39 06-01 18:24
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -4,555 -$350 5¢ $-230 +$120 06-01 18:37
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +4,970 $72 2¢ $107 +$35 05-19 13:40
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +368 $62 13¢ $49 -$12 11-02 04:29
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -277 -$8 14¢ $-40 -$32 06-13 02:40
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -37 -$34 98¢ $-36 -$2 05-22 22:45
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? No -37 -$34 98¢ $-36 -$2 07-05 14:49
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -28 -$21 86¢ $-24 -$3 05-23 22:51
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -120 -$14 14¢ $-17 -$3 07-05 00:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -17 -$11 95¢ $-16 -$6 06-01 14:22
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes -325 -$28 3¢ $-11 +$17 10-28 16:00
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -6,571 -$38 0¢ $-10 +$28 05-23 22:52
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 +$0 06-13 02:47
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -6 -$6 97¢ $-6 -$1 06-01 14:27
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -8 -$7 66¢ $-5 +$1 06-01 15:52
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes -195 $3 2¢ $-3 -$7 10-05 14:32
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +237 $6 1¢ $3 -$3 05-10 03:37
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +188 $3 1¢ $2 -$1 05-10 03:37
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -38 -$5 1¢ $-0 +$5 05-14 11:12
Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-13 02:48