Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
10.2%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,554
lifetime
Volume
$10.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$102
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 06-20 10:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
85% 0% $-12
Politics
10% 100% +$1
Other
5%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -98 $-68 68¢ $-67 +$0 06-20 09:53
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -18 $-16 94¢ $-16 $-1 06-20 10:19
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -17 $-13 84¢ $-14 $-1 06-20 09:53
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -74 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-20 10:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -1 $-1 94¢ $-1 $-0 06-20 10:14