Realized P&L (90d)
-$202
Unrealized P&L
+$1.79K
Hit rate
39.5%
Resolved (90d)
45
Trades (90d)
352
3,002 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$136.2K
$750.1K lifetime
Avg / trade
$250
Open exposure
$67.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 17:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Crypto
70% 84% +$297
Other
18% 69% +$1,266
Sports
11% 64% -$2,096
Politics
0% 100% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No -18,273 -$18,221 97¢ $-17706 +$514 08-18 10:25
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -13,857 -$13,474 98¢ $-13531 -$57 06-21 05:28
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +9,890 $8,843 92¢ $9.1K +$306 08-23 08:01
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +8,244 $8,120 99¢ $8.2K +$62 10-29 11:22
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7,409 $7,272 98¢ $7.3K +$22 10-29 17:50
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,530 $4,931 97¢ $5.4K +$452 10-26 13:32
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? No -2,473 -$2,296 98¢ $-2429 -$133 07-02 20:46
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,285 $2,208 99¢ $2.3K +$44 10-15 09:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -1,164 -$1,094 96¢ $-1120 -$26 07-04 21:33
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +398 $360 95¢ $379 +$19 10-29 17:49
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,109 -$211 12¢ $-139 +$72 06-14 23:42
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -163 -$140 56¢ $-92 +$48 08-16 16:23
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No -60 -$226 97¢ $-58 +$168 10-28 11:08
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 -$299 94¢ $0 +$299 10-05 16:38