Realized P&L (7d)
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$192
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved (7d)
1
Trades (7d)
1
94,978 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$18
$754.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$753
27 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 06:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 211 days
Categories
Other
91% 73% -$18,645
Crypto
7% 81% -$298
Politics
2% 83% -$1,904
Sports
1% 84% +$44
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -188 -$186 99¢ $-186 $0 10-06 09:05
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -130 -$130 100¢ $-130 -$1 10-06 09:05
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No -120 -$118 99¢ $-118 -$1 08-20 17:40
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +1,186 $214 8¢ $101 -$113 06-23 10:42
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -400 -$85 18¢ $-74 +$12 05-03 21:13
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -22 -$22 99¢ $-22 $0 10-06 10:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No -20 -$19 98¢ $-20 $0 08-20 17:40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +27 $18 70¢ $19 +$1 10-29 06:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +126 $100 12¢ $16 -$84 07-01 05:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 $0 08-20 17:40
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 06-03 05:19
US recession by end of 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-25 12:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 -$1 07-10 03:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +8 $7 98¢ $7 +$0 05-18 13:46
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -100 -$10 6¢ $-6 +$3 06-25 12:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +6 $5 42¢ $2 -$3 08-09 14:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +2 $2 93¢ $2 +$0 07-10 19:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $10 8¢ $1 -$9 07-01 05:45
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-25 07:17
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-04 14:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-11 06:26
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 08-02 16:59
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-10 03:37
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2 $1 39¢ $1 $0 08-09 14:54
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -4 -$1 19¢ $-1 $0 06-25 12:54
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +5 $1 9¢ $0 -$1 07-11 09:52
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -8 -$3 3¢ $-0 +$3 05-02 17:30