Realized P&L (90d)
+$158
Unrealized P&L
-$188
Hit rate
71.0%
Resolved (90d)
43
Trades (90d)
173
94,947 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$5.23K
$752.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$754
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-05 15:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 214 days
Categories
Other
91% 73% -$18,645
Crypto
7% 81% -$298
Politics
2% 83% -$1,885
Sports
1% 85% +$66
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
11 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No -188 -$186 99¢ $-187 -$1 10-06 09:05
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -130 -$130 100¢ $-130 -$1 10-06 09:05
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes +1,434 $232 9¢ $123 -$109 11-05 15:28
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? No -120 -$118 99¢ $-119 -$1 08-20 17:40
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -400 -$85 18¢ $-72 +$13 05-03 21:13
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? No -22 -$22 99¢ $-22 $0 10-06 10:53
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December? No -20 -$19 99¢ $-20 $0 08-20 17:40
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +126 $100 12¢ $14 -$86 07-01 05:45
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? No -11 -$11 99¢ $-11 $0 08-20 17:40
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 06-03 05:19
US recession by end of 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 06-25 12:53
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $0 07-10 03:36
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +8 $7 98¢ $7 +$0 05-18 13:46
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -100 -$10 4¢ $-4 +$5 06-25 12:52
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 Yes +6 $5 41¢ $2 -$3 08-09 14:52
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 07-10 19:28
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-25 07:17
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 05-04 14:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $10 6¢ $1 -$9 07-01 05:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-02 16:59
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-11 06:26
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 07-24 04:55
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-10 03:37
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $0 08-09 14:54
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -4 -$1 12¢ $-0 +$0 06-25 12:54
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 07-11 09:52
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 3¢ $0 -$1 06-05 09:01
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -8 -$3 3¢ $-0 +$3 05-02 17:30