Realized P&L (30d)
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$410
Hit rate
66.4%
Resolved (30d)
17
Trades (30d)
0
244,836 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$668.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$4.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 06-29 22:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
83% 49% +$2,835
Politics
12% 58% +$1,110
Sports
3% 48% +$236
Crypto
1% 47% -$14
Tech
1% 57% +$98
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +2,300 $1,840 95¢ $2.2K +$346 05-03 07:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +495 $365 82¢ $408 +$44 05-08 01:24
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +236 $132 98¢ $231 +$99 05-07 23:40
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +207 $172 95¢ $196 +$24 05-07 23:24
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +202 $155 95¢ $193 +$38 05-03 12:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +142 $102 97¢ $137 +$35 05-03 14:03
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +2,304 $482 5¢ $114 -$368 05-03 07:07
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +104 $92 97¢ $100 +$8 04-29 05:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +97 $84 98¢ $95 +$11 05-07 11:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +502 $132 18¢ $88 -$44 05-08 07:31
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +95 $50 90¢ $85 +$35 05-03 13:26
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +64 $58 99¢ $63 +$5 04-30 14:33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +56 $30 98¢ $55 +$25 04-29 19:05
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +61 $26 86¢ $52 +$27 05-01 16:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +71 $40 68¢ $48 +$8 05-07 22:20
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +50 $42 96¢ $48 +$6 05-06 15:54
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +50 $32 96¢ $48 +$16 05-06 15:52
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +48 $41 96¢ $46 +$5 05-04 07:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +45 $17 98¢ $44 +$27 05-07 03:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +44 $32 93¢ $41 +$9 05-06 14:58
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +34 $32 96¢ $32 +$0 05-04 05:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +32 $20 94¢ $30 +$10 05-02 02:32
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +30 $11 94¢ $28 +$17 05-06 22:20
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +32 $8 78¢ $25 +$17 04-30 20:56
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +28 $22 84¢ $24 +$2 05-07 11:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +24 $20 96¢ $22 +$3 05-09 10:35
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +24 $18 92¢ $22 +$4 05-03 05:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +69 $30 32¢ $22 -$8 05-07 16:19
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +22 $14 96¢ $21 +$7 05-07 04:31
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +34 $16 55¢ $19 +$2 05-03 16:13