Realized P&L (90d)
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$399
Hit rate
65.2%
Resolved (90d)
24
Trades (90d)
0
240,122 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$0
$652.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$4.51K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 06-29 22:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 128 days
Categories
Other
83% 49% +$2,835
Politics
12% 58% +$1,110
Sports
3% 48% +$236
Crypto
1% 47% -$14
Tech
1% 57% +$98
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +2,300 $1,840 96¢ $2.2K +$361 05-03 07:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +495 $365 82¢ $408 +$44 05-08 01:24
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +236 $132 96¢ $225 +$93 05-07 23:40
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +207 $172 95¢ $196 +$23 05-07 23:24
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +202 $155 95¢ $192 +$37 05-03 12:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +142 $102 96¢ $135 +$33 05-03 14:03
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +104 $92 96¢ $100 +$8 04-29 05:39
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +2,304 $482 4¢ $99 -$383 05-03 07:07
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +97 $84 98¢ $95 +$11 05-07 11:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +502 $132 18¢ $88 -$44 05-08 07:31
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +95 $50 88¢ $84 +$34 05-03 13:26
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +64 $58 98¢ $63 +$5 04-30 14:33
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +56 $30 97¢ $54 +$25 04-29 19:05
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +61 $26 88¢ $54 +$28 05-01 16:48
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +50 $32 96¢ $48 +$16 05-06 15:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +50 $42 96¢ $48 +$6 05-06 15:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +71 $40 66¢ $47 +$7 05-07 22:20
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +48 $41 96¢ $46 +$5 05-04 07:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +45 $17 97¢ $44 +$26 05-07 03:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +44 $32 97¢ $43 +$10 05-06 14:58
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +34 $32 95¢ $32 $0 05-04 05:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +32 $20 92¢ $29 +$10 05-02 02:32
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +30 $11 93¢ $28 +$17 05-06 22:20
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +28 $22 88¢ $24 +$3 05-07 11:13
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +32 $8 75¢ $24 +$16 04-30 20:56
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +69 $30 34¢ $23 -$7 05-07 16:19
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +24 $20 94¢ $22 +$2 05-09 10:35
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +22 $14 96¢ $21 +$7 05-07 04:31
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +24 $18 84¢ $20 +$2 05-03 05:32
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +34 $16 56¢ $19 +$3 05-03 16:13