Realized P&L
+$4.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$436
Hit rate
63.2%
Resolved
10,194
Trades
244,836
lifetime
Volume
$668.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$4.54K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-31
last 06-29 22:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 130 days
Categories
Other
83% 49% +$2,835
Politics
12% 57% +$1,085
Sports
3% 48% +$236
Crypto
1% 47% -$14
Tech
1% 57% +$98
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +2,300 $1,840 97¢ $2.2K +$389 05-03 07:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +495 $365 90¢ $443 +$78 05-08 01:24
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +236 $132 99¢ $233 +$102 05-07 23:40
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31? No +207 $172 96¢ $199 +$26 05-07 23:24
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? No +202 $155 95¢ $193 +$38 05-03 12:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +142 $102 97¢ $137 +$35 05-03 14:03
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +104 $92 97¢ $100 +$8 04-29 05:39
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +97 $84 98¢ $95 +$11 05-07 11:44
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +95 $50 92¢ $87 +$37 05-03 13:26
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +2,304 $482 3¢ $71 -$410 05-03 07:07
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No +64 $58 99¢ $64 +$5 04-30 14:33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +71 $40 79¢ $56 +$16 05-07 22:20
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +56 $30 98¢ $55 +$25 04-29 19:05
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +61 $26 86¢ $53 +$27 05-01 16:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +502 $132 11¢ $53 -$79 05-08 07:31
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +50 $32 98¢ $49 +$17 05-06 15:52
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +50 $42 98¢ $49 +$7 05-06 15:54
Vanta IPO before 2027? No +48 $41 97¢ $47 +$6 05-04 07:46
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +45 $17 98¢ $44 +$27 05-07 03:10
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +44 $32 97¢ $43 +$11 05-06 14:58
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +34 $32 92¢ $31 -$1 05-04 05:27
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +32 $20 90¢ $29 +$9 05-02 02:32
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +30 $11 94¢ $28 +$17 05-06 22:20
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +28 $22 88¢ $25 +$3 05-07 11:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +24 $20 97¢ $23 +$3 05-09 10:35
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +32 $8 71¢ $23 +$15 04-30 20:56
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +24 $18 94¢ $22 +$4 05-03 05:32
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +22 $14 96¢ $21 +$7 05-07 04:31
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +24 $19 81¢ $19 +$1 04-30 08:27
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +34 $16 56¢ $19 +$3 05-03 16:13