Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
92.9%
Resolved
12
Trades
427
lifetime
Volume
$1.52K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$148
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-17 16:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
48% 83% +$2
Politics
42% 100% +$2
Tech
5%
Sports
4% 67% +$1
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +102 $85 70¢ $72 $-13 07-16 01:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +10 $10 97¢ $10 +$0 07-07 15:11
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-03 15:12
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 07-09 16:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 07-02 13:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 $-0 06-15 21:58
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-01 15:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-01 15:52
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 93¢ $5 +$0 06-01 15:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-07 15:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 07-09 16:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 76¢ $3 $-0 06-01 15:57
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 68¢ $3 $-0 07-09 16:12
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 06-01 15:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 06-01 15:56
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -7 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 07-07 15:16
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-01 15:56
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 05-29 02:07