Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
92.9%
Resolved
12
Trades
360
lifetime
Volume
$1.21K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$55
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 13:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
46% 83% +$2
Politics
43% 100% +$2
Tech
6%
Sports
4% 67% +$1
Crypto
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 88¢ $11 +$1 06-01 15:50
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-03 15:12
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +7 $6 90¢ $6 $-0 07-02 13:38
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -6 $-6 97¢ $-6 $-0 06-15 21:58
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-01 15:52
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-01 15:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 95¢ $5 +$0 06-01 15:53
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 80¢ $3 $-0 06-01 15:57
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 06-01 15:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 06-01 15:56
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 +$0 06-01 15:56
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 05-29 02:07