Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
42.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$42
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$24
17 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 09:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
88% 43% $-1
Other
7%
Politics
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 11? Yes -6 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-1 05-08 09:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13? Yes -6 $-5 86¢ $-5 $-1 05-08 09:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 05-07 10:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -1 $-1 80¢ $-1 +$0 05-08 05:34
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -1 $-1 70¢ $-1 $-0 05-08 05:34
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 +$0 05-08 05:34
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No -1 $-1 92¢ $-1 $-0 05-08 05:34
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No -1 $-1 88¢ $-1 $-0 05-08 05:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 $-0 05-07 19:51
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? Yes +1 $1 56¢ $1 $-0 05-06 09:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? No +2 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 05-08 09:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13? No +2 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 05-08 09:01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? Yes +3 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 05-06 09:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12? No +2 $1 34¢ $1 $-0 05-08 09:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13? No +4 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 05-08 09:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11? No +2 $1 28¢ $0 $-1 05-08 05:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10? No +2 $1 12¢ $0 $-1 05-08 05:29