Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$260

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$691

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-03 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$245

Other

22% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

7% 100% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	-22	$-11	34¢	$-7	+$4	06-01 13:16
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+25	$3	18¢	$5	+$1	07-03 06:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+18	$2	8¢	$2	$-1	06-29 16:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$270	258	258	+0	Yes	+$245	05-09 17:20
will the december 2025 unemployment rate be 4pt4	2	$48	38	38	+0	open	—	01-09 13:39
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5	2	$42	29	29	+0	Over	+$15	05-14 03:28
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$23	19	19	+0	open	—	02-28 08:34
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$21	33	33	+0	open	—	01-13 17:42
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	2	$18	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	02-05 21:44
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton	1	$16	25	0	+25	open	—	05-19 18:14
will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	2	$16	228	228	+0	open	—	02-28 07:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	1	$11	0	22	-22	open	—	06-01 13:16
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	1	$10	769	0	+769	open	—	02-06 12:03
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$10	294	0	+294	open	—	02-10 19:38
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	01-08 08:37
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	1	$10	83	0	+83	open	—	02-06 12:05
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	1	$10	183	0	+183	open	—	03-02 22:13
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	01-09 11:12
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	1	$10	71	0	+71	open	—	01-08 08:31
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	1	$10	264	0	+264	open	—	02-06 12:03
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	1	$10	111	0	+111	open	—	01-08 23:52
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	1	$10	294	0	+294	open	—	05-12 18:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	05-14 11:36
Will Solana reach $110 in May?	1	$10	77	0	+77	open	—	05-14 11:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$8	67	0	+67	open	—	05-18 19:57
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	01-11 08:10
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-17 11:41
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 first set winner Mensik vs Zverev	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-05 13:30
wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	06-04 05:55
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	1	$5	312	0	+312	open	—	02-03 17:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	385	0	+385	open	—	05-13 11:23
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$5	118	0	+118	open	—	03-11 02:27
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	75	0	+75	open	—	05-14 12:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 06:48:43	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xa340bc…
06-29 16:11:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$2	0xf26535…
06-05 13:30:57	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 first set winner Mensik vs Zverev	Zverev	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x902cbe…
06-04 05:55:12	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	Mirra Andreeva	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xed0cd8…
06-01 13:16:17	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	22	52¢	$11	0x207821…
05-19 18:14:44	Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	25	64¢	$16	0xd0e919…
05-18 19:57:58	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	67	12¢	$8	0xe63712…
05-17 11:41:56	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	9	64¢	$6	0xcb5bf7…
05-17 10:46:17	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x11a8c2…
05-15 16:01:48	Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings	Chennai Super Kings	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc12748…
05-14 13:33:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xfe9c71…
05-14 12:13:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$5	0xaa63ea…
05-14 11:56:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x043189…
05-14 11:36:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x357b68…
05-14 11:36:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0x6b655b…
05-14 11:03:00	Will Solana reach $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xc9cb0c…
05-14 03:28:35	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5	Over	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xcec916…
05-13 21:59:42	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5	Over	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0x8dd46a…
05-13 11:23:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	1¢	$5	0x43e425…
05-12 18:40:18	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0x0b0606…
05-09 17:20:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	258	100¢	$257	0x671890…
05-07 16:36:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	5¢	$13	0xb7870a…
03-24 08:45:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6380e9…
03-11 02:27:47	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	118	4¢	$5	0xa0d56d…
03-02 22:13:43	nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	Yes	BUY	183	5¢	$10	0x7868ba…
02-28 08:34:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$18	0xe590a2…
02-28 07:04:41	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	SELL	228	5¢	$11	0x60c094…
02-13 10:15:21	will annual inflation increase by 2pt4 in january 964	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x7b6c48…
02-11 13:26:07	will the us add between 25k and 50k jobs in january	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x2b8dbb…
02-10 19:38:17	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	294	3¢	$10	0xe554b2…
02-10 17:33:35	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	Yes	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0xef1c17…
02-06 12:05:15	will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x03e54c…
02-06 12:03:55	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0xff472f…
02-06 12:03:47	us strikes iran by february 7 2026	Yes	BUY	264	4¢	$10	0x16370f…
02-05 21:44:43	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	Yes	SELL	2,500	0¢	$8	0x403be4…
02-05 19:42:43	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$10	0x928e8f…
02-04 17:07:37	will bitcoin reach 95k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x133e3f…
02-03 17:35:24	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	228	2¢	$5	0xc3996f…
02-03 17:34:50	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x37cbc3…
02-03 17:34:44	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	312	2¢	$5	0x501bb6…
01-13 17:42:57	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	33	33¢	$11	0x25ad2d…
01-11 17:56:42	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x317a4e…
01-11 08:10:46	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0xfa73e8…
01-09 13:39:00	will the december 2025 unemployment rate be 4pt4	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x78b7d7…
01-09 11:12:40	Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xa1f49b…
01-09 11:11:34	will the december 2025 unemployment rate be 4pt4	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe0683d…
01-08 23:52:34	another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x654087…
01-08 08:37:19	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xb94e7a…
01-08 08:34:05	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x869a85…
01-08 08:31:35	israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xbf77ef…