Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
52
lifetime
Volume
$833
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$593
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 06-11 17:33
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
58%
Politics
42%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +150 $140 98¢ $146 +$7 06-07 19:19
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +150 $129 88¢ $131 +$2 06-10 21:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +100 $97 99¢ $99 +$1 06-04 15:25
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +80 $57 74¢ $60 +$2 06-07 19:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50 $40 82¢ $41 +$1 06-10 21:11
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +40 $39 98¢ $39 +$1 06-10 22:44
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-10 10:44
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? No +6 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 06-04 16:27
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-04 03:43
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-03 18:35
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-08 05:15
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-10 00:38
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5 $4 91¢ $5 +$0 06-10 06:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 06-10 21:37
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +5 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 06-10 19:46
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-05 08:59
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 06-11 17:32
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 84¢ $4 $-0 06-04 14:11
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +5 $4 77¢ $4 +$0 06-09 10:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 $-1 06-11 17:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-10 22:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 56¢ $3 $-1 06-11 17:33
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $3 34¢ $2 $-1 06-10 15:52