Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
62
lifetime
Volume
$991
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$354
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-18
last 06-24 10:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
63%
Politics
37%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +150 $129 94¢ $140 +$11 06-10 21:09
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +80 $57 84¢ $68 +$10 06-07 19:32
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +50 $40 88¢ $44 +$4 06-10 21:11
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +30 $28 95¢ $28 +$1 06-12 04:03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 06-21 06:31
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027? No +10 $9 89¢ $9 +$0 06-10 10:44
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-15 07:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5 $4 100¢ $5 +$1 06-11 17:30
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$0 06-10 06:27
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$0 06-10 21:37
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-05 08:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 86¢ $4 +$1 06-11 17:33
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +5 $3 82¢ $4 +$1 06-14 15:33
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$1 06-16 20:51
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 06-13 14:44
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-15 13:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +5 $4 72¢ $4 $-0 06-10 22:49
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +5 $2 70¢ $4 +$1 06-16 07:08
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +5 $3 18¢ $1 $-2 06-10 15:52