Realized P&L (30d)
-$131
Unrealized P&L
-$53
Hit rate
50.0%
Resolved (30d)
9
Trades (30d)
54
132 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$811
$2.05K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$255
19 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 11-05 16:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
67% 43% -$179
Tech
10% 100% +$15
Politics
8% 67% -$14
Sports
7% 75% -$5
Crypto
5% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $24 31¢ $31 +$7 09-24 08:17
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +35 $28 86¢ $30 +$2 09-15 08:30
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $29 70¢ $28 -$1 09-15 08:32
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +40 $31 66¢ $27 -$4 10-26 09:18
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? No +42 $28 55¢ $23 -$5 09-18 08:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +36 $25 55¢ $20 -$6 09-24 08:20
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +13 $11 92¢ $12 +$1 09-30 09:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -15 -$12 80¢ $-12 +$1 09-23 20:34
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-08 08:57
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$0 09-28 08:50
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes +11 $10 87¢ $10 $0 10-05 07:32
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +41 $9 22¢ $9 $0 11-03 09:21
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +11 $9 78¢ $9 -$1 10-12 13:23
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +9 $7 82¢ $7 +$0 10-13 07:27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +18 -$4 30¢ $5 +$9 09-30 10:10
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +65 $24 8¢ $5 -$19 09-25 08:03
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 30¢ $4 -$6 09-28 08:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $7 22¢ $2 -$5 10-07 09:17
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +36 $27 2¢ $1 -$26 09-17 09:02