Realized P&L
-$193
Unrealized P&L
-$45
Hit rate
62.8%
Resolved
25
Trades
149
lifetime
Volume
$2.37K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$366
22 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 11-11 03:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
68% 47% -$179
Politics
10% 67% -$14
Tech
9% 100% +$15
Sports
6% 60% -$13
Crypto
4% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +85 $55 70¢ $59 +$4 11-07 12:48
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? No +150 $22 24¢ $36 +$14 11-06 09:24
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? No +36 $31 96¢ $35 +$4 09-23 08:18
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +35 $28 84¢ $30 +$1 09-15 08:30
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $24 25¢ $25 +$1 09-24 08:17
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $29 63¢ $25 -$4 09-15 08:32
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +90 $29 28¢ $25 -$4 11-09 08:36
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? No +42 $28 54¢ $23 -$5 09-18 08:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +36 $25 62¢ $22 -$3 09-24 08:20
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +13 $11 94¢ $12 +$1 09-30 09:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -15 -$12 82¢ $-12 +$0 09-23 20:34
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 10-08 08:57
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$0 09-28 08:50
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes +11 $10 88¢ $10 $0 10-05 07:32
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +11 $9 70¢ $8 -$1 10-12 13:23
Will Gabriel Attal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +30 $6 20¢ $6 $0 11-09 08:37
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +65 $24 7¢ $5 -$20 09-25 08:03
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? No +8 $7 54¢ $4 -$2 10-21 09:20
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +18 -$4 22¢ $4 +$7 09-30 10:10
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 16¢ $2 -$8 09-28 08:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $7 16¢ $2 -$5 10-07 09:17
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +36 $27 1¢ $0 -$26 09-17 09:02