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Realized P&L (90d)
-$114
Unrealized P&L
-$60
Hit rate
72.5%
Resolved (90d)
15
Trades (90d)
119
136 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.93K
$2.14K lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$429
24 positions
First seen
2026-02-18
last 11-07 12:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
65% 47% -$179
Politics
11% 67% -$14
Tech
10% 100% +$15
Sports
6% 75% -$5
Crypto
4% 0% -$2
Pop-Culture
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.00% and 3.49%? No +80 $65 81¢ $64 -$1 11-04 12:34
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +85 $55 67¢ $57 +$2 11-07 12:48
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? No +36 $31 97¢ $35 +$5 09-23 08:18
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? No +35 $28 88¢ $31 +$3 09-15 08:30
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes +40 $31 77¢ $31 +$0 10-26 09:18
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $24 28¢ $28 +$4 09-24 08:17
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $29 69¢ $28 -$2 09-15 08:32
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? No +42 $28 57¢ $24 -$4 09-18 08:18
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +36 $25 60¢ $22 -$4 09-24 08:20
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +13 $11 95¢ $12 +$1 09-30 09:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -15 -$12 81¢ $-12 +$1 09-23 20:34
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 94¢ $11 +$1 10-08 08:57
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +11 $10 96¢ $11 +$0 09-28 08:50
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? Yes +11 $10 89¢ $10 $0 10-05 07:32
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +41 $9 22¢ $9 +$0 10-27 08:53
Will there be between 120m and 125m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? No +150 $22 6¢ $9 -$14 11-06 09:24
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +11 $9 74¢ $8 -$1 10-12 13:23
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +9 $7 78¢ $7 $0 10-13 07:27
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +65 $24 8¢ $5 -$19 09-25 08:03
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +18 -$4 24¢ $4 +$8 09-30 10:10
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? No +8 $7 54¢ $4 -$2 10-21 09:20
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $10 26¢ $3 -$7 09-28 08:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $7 24¢ $2 -$5 10-07 09:17
Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? No +36 $27 2¢ $1 -$26 09-17 09:02