Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$830

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 08-15 02:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% 100% +$4

Other

37% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	3	$35	29	29	+0	open	—	06-15 21:01
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	6	$31	104	81	+23	open	—	04-12 14:52
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	07-19 19:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$24	93	94	-1	open	—	06-13 02:14
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	2	$24	638	0	+638	open	—	06-01 03:21
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$21	216	0	+216	open	—	07-16 01:30
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$20	59	0	+59	open	—	06-19 15:58
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	3	$19	27	25	+2	open	—	06-25 19:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	2	$16	56	56	+0	open	—	07-16 01:23
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$15	823	0	+823	open	—	04-26 03:31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	3	$15	37	19	+18	open	—	04-12 14:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$14	30	15	+15	open	—	04-12 01:52
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in April?	2	$13	10	8	+2	open	—	04-03 02:09
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	4	$12	195	0	+195	open	—	04-26 03:31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$12	273	0	+273	open	—	04-11 18:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$12	370	452	-82	open	—	06-15 15:55
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$11	73	0	+73	open	—	04-08 23:41
Joe Kent charged by April 30?	3	$9	94	47	+47	open	—	04-07 18:25
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	4	$9	85	54	+31	open	—	07-16 01:23
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$8	33	0	+33	open	—	04-06 14:21
kash patel out by march 31	2	$8	212	212	+0	open	—	03-30 13:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	3	$8	71	0	+71	open	—	04-26 03:32
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	1	$8	31	0	+31	open	—	08-15 02:29
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	3	$7	27	0	+27	open	—	04-06 14:21
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$7	29	0	+29	open	—	03-29 00:57
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	3	$7	20	9	+11	open	—	04-13 13:37
ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	1	$7	32	0	+32	open	—	06-13 02:16
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	2	$7	28	0	+28	open	—	04-04 03:04
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	06-01 03:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	2	$7	31	15	+17	open	—	04-12 05:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 02:29:00	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	31	25¢	$8	0xb9109f…
08-14 02:24:27	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	19	13¢	$2	0x608e0f…
08-14 02:24:19	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf2ceac…
08-14 02:23:30	will openais astra model be released by september 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x3969d8…
08-14 02:23:22	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x751027…
08-14 02:23:12	will openais astra model be released by august 15 2026 20260801214557730	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x70f145…
08-10 22:52:57	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd45032…
08-10 22:50:57	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 16 20260807213124705	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x018d97…
08-10 22:50:42	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 15 20260807213124704	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcb9a6d…
08-10 22:50:33	will kai and speed beat the minecraft challenge by august 14 20260807213124703	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3c6df9…
07-20 00:18:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xc3a2aa…
07-20 00:16:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x792122…
07-20 00:16:12	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe85af5…
07-19 19:08:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0x798404…
07-16 01:31:16	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x1cdf16…
07-16 01:31:08	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xae9a3d…
07-16 01:31:02	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x0d469c…
07-16 01:30:05	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	10¢	$21	0xaed865…
07-16 01:23:56	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	32	9¢	$3	0x4fcd8f…
07-16 01:23:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	56	11¢	$6	0xdbb870…
07-12 14:31:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x6df76f…
07-12 14:31:08	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x5a58a5…
07-12 14:30:49	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4646a4…
07-12 14:29:56	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	7	22¢	$2	0x68d8b5…
07-12 14:29:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0xe3df99…
07-12 14:28:58	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x3fcb39…
07-12 14:27:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x893b69…
07-12 14:27:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x2b9045…
07-01 19:00:10	us embassy in damascus reopened by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0x17c90c…
06-29 00:35:26	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x964af4…
06-25 19:55:19	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x647f48…
06-25 19:55:02	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0xffd0dd…
06-20 00:23:55	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xb2f581…
06-20 00:23:44	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xc39bfa…
06-20 00:23:26	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x6a856e…
06-20 00:23:19	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xba9019…
06-20 00:23:10	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	176	2¢	$3	0xa155fc…
06-20 00:21:22	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	79	4¢	$3	0x0a974b…
06-20 00:21:13	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xa1b462…
06-20 00:20:55	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x1d9113…
06-19 15:59:49	ufc jul18 abd8 2026 06 27	Julius Walker	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0b7f79…
06-19 15:59:28	ufc ion nav 2026 06 20	Ion Cutelaba	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8d56f7…
06-19 15:59:22	ufc and2 vin9 2026 06 20	Andre Fili	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x66291a…
06-19 15:59:14	ufc kev15 and26 2026 06 20	Kevin Borjas	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xb39411…
06-19 15:59:07	ufc mel7 bia1 2026 06 20	Melissa Mullins	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x4cd53a…
06-19 15:58:13	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x303f38…
06-15 21:01:33	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xd58ab4…
06-15 15:56:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xdcebb8…
06-15 15:55:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	452	0¢	$2	0xdd168b…
06-15 15:55:22	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	21	84¢	$18	0x98c3d7…
06-13 02:19:48	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0d36d5…
06-13 02:16:13	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Aiemann Zahabi	BUY	32	22¢	$7	0x193e67…
06-13 02:16:03	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0xcd209c…
06-13 02:15:51	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd696bc…
06-13 02:15:37	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xc848b0…
06-13 02:14:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	17¢	$3	0x8a00c8…
06-13 02:14:19	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	94	12¢	$11	0xdab131…
06-13 02:13:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0xd4a294…
06-03 02:26:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	BUY	370	3¢	$10	0x1398cd…
06-03 02:26:21	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	93	14¢	$13	0x8da0c7…
06-03 02:25:35	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xa50471…
06-01 03:21:37	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	530	4¢	$20	0x87c9da…
06-01 03:21:24	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	108	4¢	$4	0xfb5757…
06-01 03:18:19	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xea9083…
06-01 03:18:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x777ce2…
06-01 03:17:19	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x44064f…
06-01 03:15:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x18ccac…
05-24 01:39:53	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa09f99…
05-24 01:39:42	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x70bde7…
05-24 01:39:37	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x3b1752…
05-24 01:39:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1fc4a4…
05-24 01:39:02	Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb26244…
05-24 01:38:11	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Johnny Manziel vs. Bob Menery	Menery	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x4946d4…
05-24 01:37:47	Brand Risk Promotions 14: Ray J vs. Supah Hot Fire	Ray J	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x82c083…
05-17 03:03:19	MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano	Carano	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x566eaf…
05-17 03:02:58	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Diaz	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x37b00f…
04-26 03:32:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xfb131b…
04-26 03:31:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x6b9f06…
04-26 03:31:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xc25297…
04-22 15:36:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$6	0xcbf540…
04-22 15:36:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x7057c0…
04-22 15:35:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe4ba52…
04-22 15:35:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$1	0xe8224a…
04-22 15:34:50	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x51d090…
04-22 15:34:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x4874f3…
04-22 15:34:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x845284…
04-22 15:34:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x3ab60b…
04-22 15:34:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x604e3d…
04-14 22:41:32	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa8de13…
04-13 13:37:35	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xc43b49…
04-12 21:17:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0x8fc1b0…
04-12 21:17:39	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	24	11¢	$2	0xde6b35…
04-12 21:17:21	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0xf14f7b…
04-12 14:53:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0xda8f30…
04-12 14:52:07	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	24	23¢	$5	0xb9b2f3…
04-12 14:51:57	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0xca155f…
04-12 14:51:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x21f1b0…
04-12 05:34:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x722618…
04-12 05:32:19	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x9253ba…
04-12 01:52:29	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x6d42d7…