(anonymous) 0xc29db1…59776d
new
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
31
lifetime
Volume
$277
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$257
25 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 06-07 16:33
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
85% — —
Crypto
13% — —
Politics
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +51 $50 98¢ $50 $-0 06-07 16:32
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +312 $50 16¢ $48 $-2 06-07 15:48
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No +21 $20 95¢ $20 $-0 06-07 16:18
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $-0 06-07 16:19
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 $-0 06-07 16:00
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +19 $15 75¢ $14 $-1 06-07 16:15
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 69¢ $10 +$0 06-07 16:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +11 $10 86¢ $10 $-0 06-07 16:16
China coup attempt before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-07 16:01
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +11 $10 93¢ $10 $-0 06-07 15:58
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +90 $6 7¢ $6 +$0 06-07 16:17
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:17
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? No +6 $5 91¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +6 $5 77¢ $5 +$0 06-07 16:11
Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 06-07 16:00
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 $-0 06-07 16:33
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes +50 $5 10¢ $5 $-0 06-07 15:51
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +48 $5 10¢ $5 $-0 06-07 16:18
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +6 $2 30¢ $2 $-0 06-07 16:23
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +7 $2 24¢ $2 $-0 06-07 16:23
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +4 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 06-07 16:21
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-07 15:59
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record? Yes +1 $1 82¢ $1 +$0 06-07 16:23
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-07 15:46
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Yes +111 $1 1¢ $1 $-0 06-07 16:16