Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
34.4%
Resolved
34
Trades
9,175
lifetime
Volume
$165.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$167
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 06-10 00:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
43% 85% +$1
Politics
27% 38% $-13
Crypto
23% 100% +$1
Sports
6% 75% $-1
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -64 $-62 99¢ $-63 $-1 06-04 17:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +23 $21 92¢ $21 +$0 06-06 08:32
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +21 $21 97¢ $21 $-0 06-09 21:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -22 $-21 95¢ $-21 $-0 06-05 17:17
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +22 $20 96¢ $21 +$0 06-09 11:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +22 $21 93¢ $21 $-0 06-09 17:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +0 $-0 98¢ $0 +$0 06-08 10:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $-0 06-06 12:08
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-08 19:01
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +0 $1 96¢ $0 $-1 06-09 21:46
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-06 22:35
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? No +0 $-1 98¢ $0 +$1 06-10 01:39
Iran leadership change by June 30? No +0 $1 96¢ $0 $-1 06-09 03:55
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-09 19:00