Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
34.4%
Resolved
34
Trades
9,886
lifetime
Volume
$177.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$80
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 07-05 12:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Other
42% 85% +$1
Politics
28% 38% $-13
Crypto
22% 100% +$1
Sports
6% 75% $-1
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -22 $-21 98¢ $-21 $-1 06-05 17:17
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $19 95¢ $19 +$0 07-05 01:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 07-03 08:11
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +19 $18 94¢ $18 +$0 06-16 18:16
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? No -2 $-1 91¢ $-1 $-0 06-29 05:44
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +0 $-1 100¢ $0 +$1 07-02 17:35
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 90¢ $0 $-1 06-26 16:01
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $-0 99¢ $0 +$0 06-06 22:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 $-0 06-24 17:03
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +0 $-1 97¢ $0 +$1 06-15 21:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +0 $-0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-27 15:54
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +0 $-1 94¢ $0 +$1 07-04 22:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +0 $-0 94¢ $0 +$0 07-01 15:45