Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$297

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

829

lifetime

Volume

$57.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$544

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-17 09:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-20

Crypto

20% — —

Politics

15% 100% +$317

Sports

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+462	$420	90¢	$418	$-2	06-13 16:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+169	$100	61¢	$103	+$3	06-13 12:45
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	+48	$20	47¢	$23	+$3	06-17 09:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will jannik sinner win the 2026 australian open	9	$6.5K	7,876	5,371	+2,505	open	—	01-29 20:56
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	5	$2.1K	2,503	1,251	+1,252	open	—	02-01 11:06
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$2.0K	1,136	1,136	+0	open	—	02-21 18:49
will the united states win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	37	$1.9K	2,463	1,989	+475	open	—	02-19 21:56
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	12	$1.6K	1,349	670	+679	open	—	02-23 15:46
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	9	$1.1K	1,453	1,441	+12	open	—	02-02 23:45
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	6	$960	674	511	+163	open	—	01-27 21:01
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	9	$868	1,091	422	+668	open	—	04-07 14:34
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	2	$728	783	0	+783	open	—	02-11 16:55
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	2	$724	641	320	+321	open	—	02-13 17:44
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$708	734	0	+734	open	—	01-23 15:02
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	3	$611	311	311	+0	open	—	02-12 20:52
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$580	796	796	+0	open	—	01-29 23:03
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	12	$572	972	749	+223	open	—	02-20 10:29
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	3	$517	401	400	+1	open	—	02-09 10:47
nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	3	$479	515	0	+515	open	—	02-25 10:50
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 520 539	14	$454	1,341	0	+1,341	open	—	01-20 15:39
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$420	462	0	+462	open	—	06-13 16:10
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	7	$419	380	214	+165	open	—	02-27 02:19
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	4	$416	292	292	+0	open	—	01-20 15:09
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	3	$401	419	0	+419	open	—	01-19 08:50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	1	$386	552	0	+552	open	—	05-31 10:05
bitcoin above 90k on january 22	7	$378	803	0	+803	open	—	01-22 14:15
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$365	461	350	+111	open	—	03-01 10:30
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 540 559	17	$357	1,262	0	+1,262	open	—	01-20 16:10
amzn quarterly earnings gaap eps 02 05 2026 1pt95	4	$350	367	0	+367	open	—	02-05 05:59
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	4	$337	734	248	+486	open	—	02-21 20:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on february 15	2	$308	208	208	+0	open	—	02-15 18:17
bitcoin above 66k on march 1	1	$303	404	0	+404	open	—	03-01 12:06
elon musk of tweets january 17 january 19 115 139	6	$300	501	0	+501	open	—	01-19 08:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 09:30:26	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x145131…
06-13 16:10:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	462	91¢	$420	0x28a2a9…
06-13 12:45:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x7e6765…
06-03 20:03:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x587008…
06-03 20:03:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x0618b5…
06-03 20:03:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xe0c9d5…
06-03 19:58:30	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xc1a635…
06-03 17:41:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x884ce4…
06-03 17:40:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x965a4e…
06-03 17:40:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	278	4¢	$10	0x2c3ea8…
06-03 17:38:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0xee7d71…
06-02 06:10:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf88706…
05-31 10:05:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	552	70¢	$386	0xd611f2…
05-27 16:58:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	213	61¢	$130	0x9fc0b4…
05-18 09:11:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0xd29780…
05-17 17:05:17	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud	Casper Ruud	BUY	312	3¢	$8	0x69c5a5…
05-17 10:51:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	253	33¢	$84	0xe2e614…
05-09 21:42:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xa27fb9…
05-09 21:41:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x33610a…
05-09 21:40:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x20c0c3…
05-02 08:40:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	207	40¢	$83	0x5a6028…
05-02 08:40:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	115	26¢	$30	0x637411…
05-02 08:40:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xa19ded…
05-02 08:40:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x77ecd3…
04-07 14:34:53	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	134	93¢	$124	0x4c3c82…
03-25 09:29:45	bitcoin above 70k on march 25	No	BUY	120	14¢	$17	0xc18dac…
03-23 21:41:11	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	62	97¢	$59	0x17d59b…
03-23 21:33:59	will jannik sinner win the 2026 mens singles tournament at the miami open	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xe77462…
03-23 21:33:07	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	Yes	SELL	69	100¢	$69	0x4495d7…
03-20 05:24:03	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	Yes	BUY	69	61¢	$42	0x2df6f6…
03-17 05:25:45	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x86a66b…
03-17 03:38:37	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x79b66c…
03-16 13:41:15	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	81	28¢	$23	0x530200…
03-15 07:52:27	Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?	Yes	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x5a2f94…
03-15 07:44:59	will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	Yes	BUY	264	26¢	$69	0x29299c…
03-15 07:28:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x205504…
03-11 18:04:05	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	79	56¢	$44	0xd20c00…
03-09 09:22:57	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	7	93¢	$7	0xfa7aed…
03-09 06:28:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	250	3¢	$6	0x15a2b6…
03-07 12:06:25	bitcoin above 68k on march 7	Yes	BUY	34	54¢	$18	0xf8ab17…
03-07 09:34:51	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	218	30¢	$64	0xce507a…
03-07 09:34:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	250	20¢	$50	0xf690ce…
03-03 09:37:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	177	43¢	$76	0x546225…
03-03 07:29:13	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	BUY	139	92¢	$128	0x5ec83a…
03-03 05:55:49	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	79	48¢	$38	0x9a51d7…
03-03 05:54:01	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 4 844 575	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xc0ab24…
03-03 05:52:21	spx up or down on march 3 2026	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xb5a5a5…
03-03 05:52:09	bitcoin up or down march 3 4am et	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0b43cc…
03-03 05:51:43	bitcoin up or down on march 3	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xf79fce…
03-02 08:12:21	will us or israel strike iran on march 7 2026	No	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x2c9806…
03-02 08:12:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	No	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xc24202…
03-02 08:12:05	will us or israel strike iran on march 8 2026	No	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x30817f…
03-02 08:11:59	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x135251…
03-02 08:09:29	will bitcoin reach 70k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x1ffb67…
03-01 22:18:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	No	BUY	212	97¢	$205	0x395bec…
03-01 22:18:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x656575…
03-01 22:18:05	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x31bfd8…
03-01 22:17:37	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0x90565e…
03-01 15:45:03	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3d812e…
03-01 15:44:29	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xc4a00c…
03-01 12:06:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 1	Yes	BUY	404	75¢	$303	0x475534…
03-01 10:43:21	bitcoin up or down march 1 8am et	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xb3e4eb…
03-01 10:30:45	nothing ever happens microstrategy	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xb858a1…
03-01 10:28:45	cl up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfad035…
03-01 06:52:23	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x0f90e9…
03-01 06:47:35	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0x667052…
02-28 20:18:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,389	4¢	$50	0x944956…
02-28 20:17:27	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	156	96¢	$151	0x397f5d…
02-27 02:19:46	will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x39360d…
02-26 13:38:16	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	302	99¢	$298	0x123511…
02-26 13:35:24	will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xf753af…
02-26 13:34:40	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x230f32…
02-26 13:31:50	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x238ce1…
02-26 13:31:06	bitcoin above 68k on february 26	Yes	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x6ca399…
02-26 13:30:04	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd7892d…
02-26 13:29:58	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x929c81…
02-26 13:29:34	will another company be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xf27f49…
02-26 13:29:24	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x869993…
02-26 13:29:12	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xda0e22…
02-25 22:30:24	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x6b9566…
02-25 16:41:46	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	79	97¢	$77	0x43acb4…
02-25 10:50:44	nvda quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 25 2026 1pt52	Yes	BUY	406	93¢	$379	0x1482f1…
02-24 09:37:50	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x97f87d…
02-23 16:19:26	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x6b3f66…
02-23 15:46:34	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x182f52…
02-23 13:39:48	elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 90 114	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x774fef…
02-23 10:53:22	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0xba5d6d…
02-23 09:43:28	will the us tariff rate on china be between 15 and 25 on march 31	Yes	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0xadf3b2…
02-23 09:43:14	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0x7c8a1d…
02-23 09:42:14	us issues do not travel warning for jalisco state by february 28 2026 348	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xb26890…
02-23 09:41:56	us shelter in place order lifted in jalisco by february 28 779 355	No	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x8b8997…
02-23 09:41:32	us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x1220ec…
02-23 09:40:04	russian strike on a nato member by march 31	Yes	SELL	213	3¢	$6	0xf4ce83…
02-23 09:12:18	highest temperature in chicago on february 23 2026 28 29f	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x87733e…
02-23 09:12:08	highest temperature in toronto on february 23 2026 neg 1c	Yes	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x43ab97…
02-23 09:11:50	highest temperature in nyc on february 23 2026 34 35f	No	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x3bd84f…
02-23 09:11:30	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x4a64e6…
02-23 07:38:58	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x5b3d4c…
02-23 07:38:46	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xb3fdf4…
02-23 07:34:26	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 90 114	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa29e36…