(anonymous) 0xd6832c…0c6fd3
bot new 12L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
30
Trades
103
lifetime
Volume
$119
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$41
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-23
last 10-27 00:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
85% 0% -$28
Politics
8% 0% -$5
Crypto
6% 0% -$5
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes +931 $13 1¢ $11 -$2 10-23 19:55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $4 0¢ $4 $0 10-23 21:18
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +50 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 10-25 04:40
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes +37 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 10-23 21:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? Yes +592 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 10-24 01:53
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes +143 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-23 21:23
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? Yes +367 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-24 01:53
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? No +27 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-23 21:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +17 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-23 21:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? Yes +11 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 10-23 21:45
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +1,000 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-23 19:49
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 10-23 21:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:43
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +12 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:24
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? Yes +143 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:52
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +74 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:52
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +9 $1 10¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:44
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +43 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:45
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +182 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:52
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? Yes +62 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-23 20:21
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +34 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:30
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +23 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:30
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:21
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:21
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:46
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +283 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:20
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes +79 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:52
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:52
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? Yes +27 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:31
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +167 $1 0¢ $1 $0 10-23 21:52