Loyal-Exam 0xd8dc83…5db4d2 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$40
Unrealized P&L
+$105
Hit rate
44.2%
Resolved
280
Trades
564
lifetime
Volume
$1.04K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$188
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 11-07 08:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Other
46% 35% -$11
Sports
34% 38% -$17
Politics
15% 31% +$1
Crypto
5% 18% -$15
Tech
1% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +180 $15 46¢ $82 +$66 07-07 12:06
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +14 $5 76¢ $10 +$5 08-01 12:59
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +48 $7 19¢ $9 +$2 09-23 09:31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -9 -$7 98¢ $-8 -$1 05-23 21:26
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +33 $5 24¢ $8 +$3 08-08 03:44
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $4 63¢ $6 +$2 07-15 10:08
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +40 -$1 15¢ $6 +$7 11-07 01:58
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +43 $6 14¢ $6 $0 10-15 14:42
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +26 $5 22¢ $6 +$1 07-14 12:02
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? Yes +44 $5 11¢ $5 $0 11-07 07:53
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +47 $7 10¢ $4 -$3 11-07 01:58
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +24 $6 16¢ $4 -$2 10-20 05:26
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +25 $1 15¢ $4 +$3 05-18 16:05
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? Yes +9 $1 34¢ $3 +$2 10-04 04:03
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3 $3 86¢ $3 $0 10-04 03:50
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +42 $5 6¢ $3 -$2 08-01 12:59
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -5 -$2 46¢ $-2 +$0 09-22 00:01
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes -42 -$15 5¢ $-2 +$13 10-29 17:53
Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +62 $5 4¢ $2 -$3 08-04 04:45
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23 $2 9¢ $2 +$0 09-23 09:28
Will Ousmane Dembélé (PSG) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Ligue 1 season? Yes +52 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 11-07 02:00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24 $2 7¢ $2 $0 09-23 09:28
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 41¢ $1 +$0 11-07 08:01
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +17 $5 8¢ $1 -$4 08-01 12:59
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -52 -$16 2¢ $-1 +$15 07-07 11:55
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +17 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 10-31 12:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -16 -$1 6¢ $-1 $0 11-07 08:06
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -59 -$3 2¢ $-1 +$3 05-06 14:14
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 05-18 16:04
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3 $1 32¢ $1 $0 05-18 16:04