Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
29.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
195
lifetime
Volume
$327
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$31
10 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 07-20 07:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
62% 50% $-9
Sports
16% 25% $-13
Crypto
12%
Politics
9% 100% +$0
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? Yes +111 $4 14¢ $15 +$11 06-13 04:37
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No -14 $-8 34¢ $-5 +$3 07-20 07:11
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes +19 $5 24¢ $5 $-0 06-11 23:41
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$0 07-14 19:56
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? Yes +6 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-03 16:54
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +2 $1 38¢ $1 $-0 07-14 19:57
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $-0 05-28 10:42
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 $-0 06-13 04:39
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? Yes +21 $1 $0 $-1 06-11 23:41
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No -24 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-31 04:24