(anonymous) 0xda0f42…772a19
3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$43
Unrealized P&L
+$281
Hit rate
86.9%
Resolved
90
Trades
430
lifetime
Volume
$11.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$2.73K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-16
last 10-27 22:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Other
71% 91% +$6
Politics
15% 76% -$4
Crypto
14% 86% +$27
Sports
0% 100% +$14
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? Yes +331 $292 96¢ $319 +$27 09-21 16:51
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +274 $242 96¢ $264 +$21 10-09 11:55
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +206 $202 98¢ $202 +$0 09-20 15:44
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? No +200 $175 100¢ $199 +$24 10-11 15:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -170 -$200 98¢ $-167 +$33 10-26 08:16
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +200 $124 82¢ $165 +$41 10-03 23:12
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +168 $158 98¢ $164 +$6 07-21 12:35
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +163 $151 95¢ $154 +$3 09-25 03:47
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October? No +144 $140 100¢ $144 +$4 10-26 02:41
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +103 $97 97¢ $100 +$3 07-04 15:59
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in october 2026 No +100 $77 99¢ $99 +$22 10-15 02:28
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in October? No +100 $82 99¢ $99 +$17 10-11 15:40
NATO dissolves before 2027? No -98 -$95 99¢ $-96 -$1 05-25 23:51
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +70 $67 98¢ $69 +$2 10-06 01:33
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +59 $50 94¢ $55 +$5 07-01 10:51
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? No +50 $33 99¢ $50 +$16 10-11 07:07
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +50 $47 95¢ $47 +$0 09-20 15:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +48 $40 92¢ $44 +$4 06-01 13:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +46 $34 80¢ $37 +$3 07-19 16:23
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +36 $35 97¢ $35 +$1 07-23 16:49
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +33 $31 94¢ $31 +$1 07-31 21:43
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$1 07-20 07:42
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +30 $27 88¢ $27 $0 10-23 15:54
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +30 $24 84¢ $25 +$2 07-21 00:16
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -21 -$20 97¢ $-20 $0 10-26 04:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 10-23 22:53
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 92¢ $18 +$0 07-19 16:20
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? No +20 -$20 89¢ $18 +$38 10-27 22:48
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +18 $15 92¢ $17 +$2 05-16 13:19
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +15 $8 96¢ $15 +$6 10-14 10:44