Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.5%

Resolved

Trades

214

lifetime

Volume

$4.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 07-30 02:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% — —

Politics

15% 33% $-15

Crypto

10% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	20	$1.7K	1,728	0	+1,728	open	—	07-25 18:05
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	10	$617	664	0	+664	open	—	07-29 10:01
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	3	$265	280	0	+280	open	—	07-20 16:46
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	3	$260	266	0	+266	open	—	01-26 01:55
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	4	$141	103	50	+53	open	—	07-28 16:40
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	5	$134	81	200	-119	open	—	07-20 15:46
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$101	78	78	+0	open	—	07-22 21:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$86	99	17	+82	open	—	05-27 19:40
jimmy lai released by december 31 2026 20260628212538413	3	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	07-26 23:34
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$80	87	0	+87	open	—	03-02 14:19
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	10	$69	82	30	+52	open	—	02-28 05:45
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	4	$69	75	0	+75	open	—	01-20 23:12
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?	6	$54	53	28	+25	open	—	02-27 01:35
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	2	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	07-19 18:48
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	07-04 15:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	8	$44	56	0	+56	open	—	05-26 04:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	05-24 01:33
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	2	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	03-12 14:04
Netanyahu out by April 30?	3	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	04-01 10:50
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	2	$35	36	0	+36	open	—	07-23 16:49
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	5	$35	88	94	-5	open	—	03-25 23:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	3	$33	41	20	+22	open	—	07-19 16:23
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$30	42	0	+42	open	—	02-27 14:05
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	2	$30	35	0	+35	open	—	07-01 10:51
peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	2	$30	37	0	+37	open	—	02-27 04:35
will bitcoin reach 78k march 30 april 5	1	$30	30	0	+30	open	—	04-01 10:48
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	1	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	07-04 15:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	07-22 21:21
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	07-19 16:29
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	2	$23	29	0	+29	open	—	07-20 15:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 02:06:35	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x753427…
07-29 10:01:21	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x9c188b…
07-28 16:40:53	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x86cc6d…
07-28 15:45:04	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	43	92¢	$40	0x7b720e…
07-27 14:14:09	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa25e12…
07-27 14:12:37	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x58cfab…
07-26 23:34:22	jimmy lai released by december 31 2026 20260628212538413	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x1554b4…
07-26 19:57:16	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa42e1f…
07-26 17:05:07	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa72da9…
07-25 18:05:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$2	0xa4d7c4…
07-25 17:58:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xc50a85…
07-25 17:58:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x1e45fd…
07-25 17:56:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8b5af4…
07-25 17:56:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x09b8b2…
07-25 17:53:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe424a7…
07-25 17:53:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc4962a…
07-25 17:46:07	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x58f09a…
07-25 17:45:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xe7d390…
07-25 17:44:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	74	96¢	$71	0x9a9104…
07-25 17:43:48	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf92906…
07-25 15:39:28	Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x5c7583…
07-23 16:49:57	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb7fffa…
07-23 02:02:57	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0xbfa86b…
07-22 21:21:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xc5c4e2…
07-22 21:21:37	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	44	78¢	$34	0x3577fe…
07-22 21:21:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x1283bd…
07-20 16:46:12	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xbb048e…
07-20 16:09:09	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x8f223f…
07-20 16:09:09	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x7c7a40…
07-20 15:46:28	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xdf7965…
07-20 15:41:48	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	No	BUY	22	79¢	$17	0x4bb957…
07-20 14:35:55	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd28a44…
07-20 14:30:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0x58be98…
07-19 21:44:22	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6d4cc9…
07-19 18:48:09	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xade4aa…
07-19 16:38:09	us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xbc012a…
07-19 16:37:24	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa08e19…
07-19 16:32:22	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xda60b3…
07-19 16:30:45	another pandemic before gta vi	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdda5ee…
07-19 16:30:04	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcac9ae…
07-19 16:29:36	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xf74b14…
07-19 16:23:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0xb69b3c…
07-19 16:22:16	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x9600dd…
07-19 16:22:09	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x7c2aa6…
07-19 16:21:57	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x975075…
07-19 16:20:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	96¢	$481	0xfc9c1d…
07-19 16:20:10	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x4d75bd…
07-19 16:18:43	jimmy lai released by december 31 2026 20260628212538413	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3e2bd4…
07-19 16:15:43	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xc53d41…
07-19 16:12:52	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x560760…
07-19 16:10:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xf24a8f…
07-17 01:05:44	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	33	93¢	$31	0xe18bc0…
07-15 04:48:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeb8096…
07-08 15:35:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0x21c164…
07-08 15:34:10	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0xcecb10…
07-04 16:19:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xdd3d4b…
07-04 16:19:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xa83660…
07-04 16:19:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0x9c4dad…
07-04 16:09:49	jimmy lai released by december 31 2026 20260628212538413	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xc79c5d…
07-04 16:04:11	will china blockade taiwan by in 2026	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x9494b7…
07-04 15:59:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x1d8550…
07-04 15:59:34	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xbfa48f…
07-04 15:59:11	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x8edfcd…
07-04 15:58:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x51a066…
07-04 15:56:08	us government removes public access to another major ai model in 2026 20260703202936862	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xff0210…
07-04 15:54:02	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 60 20260618224014044	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5c01b8…
07-04 15:51:10	us x china tariff agreement by july 31 20260626205549138	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x6a93f7…
07-04 15:50:07	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x632267…
07-04 15:49:49	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc0100d…
07-04 15:49:23	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x5953b7…
07-04 15:46:17	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x1a92b6…
07-04 15:41:20	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xd251ff…
07-04 15:33:19	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0xc44dca…
07-01 14:37:05	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	180	93¢	$167	0xe0e2d7…
07-01 10:54:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x677d88…
07-01 10:53:41	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x347c0c…
07-01 10:51:47	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x5959bd…
07-01 10:50:29	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x117691…
07-01 10:50:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd291ad…
07-01 10:49:49	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x72d1c4…
07-01 10:48:56	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2e92ed…
07-01 10:48:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xe13a96…
07-01 10:46:14	will the grand theft auto vi ps5 launch price be at least 60 20260618224014044	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d7453…
07-01 10:45:28	GTA 6 launch postponed again?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x9e1077…
06-18 16:53:59	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	62	94¢	$58	0x5209bb…
06-15 14:44:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x08461a…
06-08 14:40:13	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x525044…
06-07 04:44:13	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x69f67b…
06-07 04:41:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xc1d1f9…
06-01 20:52:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4fd95b…
06-01 20:52:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0947d3…
06-01 20:52:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2ae77d…
06-01 13:44:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6b13ad…
06-01 13:37:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x3fed62…
06-01 13:33:23	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xbf893a…
06-01 13:28:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x666c0b…
06-01 13:28:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa865e8…
05-27 19:40:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	24	86¢	$20	0x1cf50e…
05-27 13:43:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x440208…
05-26 13:46:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7bbf57…