Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
45
lifetime
Volume
$190
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$14
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 06-11 02:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
65% 100% +$1
Politics
22%
Other
10%
Sports
3%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:17
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:33
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:24
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:23
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 89¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:26
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 $-0 06-11 02:26
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-11 02:26
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-02 07:16
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-03 07:22
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 $-0 06-03 07:22
Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-11 02:25
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Yes +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-03 07:23
Will the Referendum on the Civilian Service Act be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? Yes +2 $1 64¢ $1 $-0 06-03 07:21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 88¢ $1 $-0 06-11 02:28