Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
9
Trades
76
lifetime
Volume
$221
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$34
22 positions
First seen
2026-03-04
last 07-03 03:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
56% 100% +$1
Politics
21%
Other
20%
Sports
3%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +4 $4 95¢ $4 +$0 07-03 03:58
Will Este Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $3 96¢ $3 +$0 07-03 03:58
Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +4 $3 75¢ $3 $-0 07-03 03:58
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-01 02:20
Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 07-01 02:20
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-01 02:20
Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $2 98¢ $2 +$0 07-01 02:20
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 06-29 02:50
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +3 $2 48¢ $1 $-1 07-03 03:58
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:17
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? Yes +1 $1 91¢ $1 +$0 06-16 02:30
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 07-02 02:04
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:26
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:22
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:26
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-29 02:52
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-03 07:33
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:26
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 +$0 06-11 02:28
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-11 02:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-02 07:16
Will Phoebe Bridgers attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +1 $1 40¢ $1 $-0 07-02 02:04