Yawning-Gallbladder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

-$528

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

435

Trades

573

lifetime

Volume

$71.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$183

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 10-19 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Other

67% 97% +$60

Crypto

24% 93% +$117

Politics

9% 64% -$146

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+994	$442	12¢	$114	-$328	08-20 06:39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+600	$269	12¢	$69	-$200	07-22 14:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will lighter reach 5pt00 in january	34	$25.9K	12,962	12,957	+5	No	-$1	01-28 14:06
Over $1M committed to the Bitway public sale?	4	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$3	01-25 13:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.5K	4,880	4,880	+0	No	-$146	05-21 06:59
will the us next strike iran on february 5 2026 et	2	$996	500	500	+0	No	+$2	02-08 08:03
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$945	946	0	+946	No	+$1	05-01 08:11
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$939	940	0	+940	No	+$1	04-29 13:32
nvda above 205 on march 20 2026	1	$922	923	0	+923	No	+$1	03-20 13:36
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$919	920	0	+920	No	+$1	03-24 13:33
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$916	923	0	+923	Yes	+$7	05-04 06:14
amzn close above 225 on march 19 2026	3	$915	917	0	+917	No	+$2	03-19 13:44
aapl close above 240 on march 17 2026	2	$915	916	0	+916	Yes	+$1	03-17 13:40
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	5	$900	1,638	0	+1,638	No	+$0	04-12 08:24
crint ind nzl 2026 03 08	1	$899	900	0	+900	India	+$1	03-08 18:45
tsla close above 430 on march 9 2026	1	$899	900	0	+900	No	+$1	03-09 13:44
nflx above 130 on february 20 2026	2	$894	448	448	+0	No	+$0	02-19 16:30
crint gbr sco 2026 02 14	4	$843	844	0	+844	England	+$1	02-14 12:34
msft close above 410 on february 23 2026	1	$829	830	0	+830	No	+$1	02-23 17:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?	1	$828	828	0	+828	No	+$1	05-16 15:21
bitcoin above 64k on march 7	1	$820	830	0	+830	Yes	+$10	03-07 04:53
Aztec FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$818	820	0	+820	No	+$2	02-12 07:04
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$797	810	0	+810	No	+$13	02-22 11:52
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	1	$796	810	0	+810	No	+$14	02-24 13:48
bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	1	$785	786	0	+786	Yes	+$1	07-04 12:38
crint ind nld 2026 02 18	1	$779	780	0	+780	India	+$1	02-18 16:49
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$744	750	0	+750	No	+$6	02-10 12:09
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	2	$739	740	0	+740	No	+$1	03-05 18:05
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$709	710	0	+710	Yes	+$1	07-13 14:58
bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	1	$699	700	0	+700	No	+$1	07-10 12:39
bitcoin above 66k on june 14 2026	1	$690	690	0	+690	No	+$1	06-14 14:28
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	2	$659	660	0	+660	No	+$1	02-28 18:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 13:28:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe943b…
08-23 03:58:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x3e1577…
08-23 03:58:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x03c926…
08-23 03:58:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x746c91…
08-23 03:58:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1d2b90…
08-23 03:57:57	Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x259c61…
08-23 03:57:49	Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf06da2…
08-23 03:57:42	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x6ff411…
08-23 03:57:31	Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc8b227…
08-23 03:57:19	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9ed1c1…
08-23 03:56:39	Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x316a6c…
08-23 03:56:27	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xd9b349…
08-20 06:39:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	374	40¢	$150	0x421be6…
08-17 12:24:55	bitcoin above 66k on august 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5e8a67…
08-15 12:30:16	bitcoin above 62k on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x4f9321…
08-14 05:12:27	bitcoin above 66k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x01f4aa…
08-10 04:29:25	bitcoin above 62k on august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab1497…
08-08 11:27:54	bitcoin above 64k on august 8 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x805df6…
08-07 11:17:39	bitcoin above 62k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4a2bc9…
08-06 12:12:05	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd84f94…
08-02 09:57:26	will bitcoin reach 70k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x062b86…
07-28 06:23:43	bitcoin above 66k on july 28 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0xa3fd16…
07-27 06:53:54	bitcoin above 70k on july 27 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x84fe38…
07-25 06:59:03	bitcoin above 66k on july 25 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa9ed2f…
07-24 08:50:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7be190…
07-23 10:49:31	bitcoin above 68k on july 23 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3e8db8…
07-23 10:49:15	bitcoin above 64k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2a544f…
07-22 14:07:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x7f8bda…
07-22 07:45:52	bitcoin above 68k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4bd6d6…
07-22 07:45:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x6a1b12…
07-21 08:24:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0xb39375…
07-21 07:24:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	46¢	$92	0x5a76ad…
07-17 15:12:37	will nvda reach 236 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaa936d…
07-17 15:11:37	will nvda dip to 184 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	274	100¢	$274	0xf94290…
07-16 08:48:58	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	46¢	$138	0xc1c66a…
07-16 08:48:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0xb464c9…
07-16 08:48:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0x5800ab…
07-16 08:47:38	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc74ea7…
07-15 11:47:38	bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd342c7…
07-14 07:01:46	bitcoin above 66k on july 14 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x243440…
07-13 14:58:44	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	710	100¢	$709	0xaba31c…
07-12 11:13:01	bitcoin above 66k on july 12 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x048d78…
07-11 10:56:37	bitcoin above 66k on july 11 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf50cd5…
07-11 10:56:28	bitcoin above 62k on july 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbea343…
07-10 12:39:11	bitcoin above 68k on july 10 2026	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x204afb…
07-09 08:42:20	bitcoin above 60k on july 9 2026	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd1388f…
07-07 08:07:34	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	572	100¢	$572	0xffc53b…
07-06 15:33:46	tsla close above 370 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x06df53…
07-06 15:33:40	tsla close above 370 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x8d116a…
07-06 15:33:34	tsla close above 370 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x199820…
07-06 15:33:28	tsla close above 370 on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xcd687b…
07-06 15:32:44	aapl close above 285 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0xeed3b0…
07-06 15:31:58	msft close above 360 on july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfab85d…
07-06 08:50:23	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x1bc51f…
07-05 11:14:32	bitcoin above 64k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x26fbb0…
07-05 06:54:29	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94d50b…
07-05 06:54:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xe71e59…
07-04 12:38:46	bitcoin above 60k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	786	100¢	$785	0x85ca1a…
07-03 12:50:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 3?	Yes	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x39db42…
07-03 12:49:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 3?	Yes	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xfdd7f5…
07-03 12:48:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0fb5b3…
07-03 12:45:14	bitcoin above 64k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc5081f…
07-03 12:44:56	bitcoin above 60k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xde685e…
07-01 10:58:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xfc37ae…
06-27 04:27:35	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x98e3c8…
06-27 04:27:26	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3340a…
06-27 04:26:56	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd33aec…
06-27 04:26:47	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ccdd8…
06-27 04:26:40	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a1c03…
06-27 04:26:32	will silver si hit high 80 by end of june	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1def67…
06-27 04:26:25	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3362d…
06-27 04:26:02	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6df41…
06-27 04:25:55	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86636e…
06-27 04:25:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x62904f…
06-25 04:58:10	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xbdcbe4…
06-25 04:57:50	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x95a25c…
06-25 04:57:43	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c59fc…
06-25 04:57:35	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4850d5…
06-25 04:56:50	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x096915…
06-25 04:56:43	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e252f…
06-25 04:56:35	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfb63c4…
06-25 04:56:08	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e9dac…
06-25 04:56:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9bf973…
06-25 04:55:52	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf7b823…
06-25 04:55:44	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,400 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5481f…
06-25 04:55:38	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x12ebc3…
06-25 04:55:29	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf8fd1…
06-25 04:55:20	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8739b8…
06-25 04:55:13	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa091d5…
06-25 04:55:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe19fda…
06-25 04:53:34	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc6fbb7…
06-25 04:53:26	will xrp dip to 0pt6 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9d9d8…
06-25 04:53:11	will xrp dip to 0pt4 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfe7652…
06-25 04:53:02	will xrp reach 1pt6 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x385e91…
06-25 04:52:47	will xrp reach 1pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa4caf5…
06-25 04:52:40	will xrp reach 2 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x508d3e…
06-25 04:52:32	will xrp reach 2pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb3aec3…
06-25 04:52:25	will xrp reach 2pt4 in june 2026	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x89ea90…
06-25 04:50:22	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x05d023…
06-25 04:49:22	will dogecoin reach 0pt15 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0aa169…